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Set Your Limits With Unibet Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Maria da Silva
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 SP 7/4F Est. 27%
Mr Fox says
Maria da Silva (SR 76, 5/2) is the clear SR leader in this field by 7 points over the next-best, carries a workable 9-11, and is trained by Andrew Balding (18% strike rate, 3150 runners — the strongest handler in the race) with Oisin Murphy aboard (22% career strike rate, 2832 runners — the standout jockey booking). Her form string -11445 shows back-to-back wins before a slight drop in her last two, but she runs at the same class (ClassMv:=) and only 2lb higher than her last win (MarkMv:+2), meaning conditions are not materially tougher. The market is confident at 5/2 with no drift flagged. GoingFit:? is the one open question — she is unproven on good-to-soft — but Kempton AW essentially neutralises going concerns, and the Balding/Murphy combination does not turn up for a Class 5 fillies' handicap without purpose. Each-way alternative: Goomah. Main danger: Amarachi — Amarachi (SR 68, 11/2) has steamed in 19% in the market (Mkt:in19%), carries a light 9-6, and shows consistent placed form (612333), suggesting stable confidence that the market is reflecting even if the SR trails Maria da Silva by 8 points.
Full result
Winner: Maria Da Silva (IRE) at SP 7/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Maria da Silva Fox #1 2/1
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2
Amarachi Fox #3 13/2
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3
Daisy Roots 20/1
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4
Q T Pie 66/1
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5
Goomah Fox #2 5/2
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6
Medway Queen 9/2
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7
Rating 16/1
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8
Connie Moon 16/1
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9
Zoulette 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Maria da Silva 5/2 SP 7/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Goomah 7/2 5TH
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3
Amarachi 11/2 🥈 2ND