← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Punchestown Premiere Weekend Sat 21 & Sun 22 November Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Amplitude
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/2 Est. 12%
Mr Fox says
Amplitude (SR:69, 7/2 equivalent at 15/2) shares the field's joint-highest SR alongside San Aer and Jp's Express, but carries a more manageable 10-0 versus San Aer's declining form line (005255, drifting 10%) and Jp's Express's 14% drift off a MarkMv:+6. Crucially, Amplitude is the only horse in the top-SR tier with market confidence — steaming in 13% — suggesting informed money behind this yard booking of G.F. Carroll. Yes, DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are genuine concerns, and MarkMv:+11 is a burden, but in a field where every other contender carries their own significant flaw, the combination of joint-top SR, strong late market support, and recent racecourse sharpness (10 days since last run) edges it ahead. Each-way alternative: Lady Mary Heath. Main danger: Jp's Express — Jp's Express (SR:69, 4/1 favourite) carries the lightest weight of the top-rated trio at 9-5 and is the market leader, though the 14% drift and GoingFit:- plus MarkMv:+6 are warning signs that may explain why it has drifted from opening.
Full result
Winner: Lady Mary Heath (IRE) at SP 100/30F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Lady Mary Heath Fox #4 11/2
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2
Sylkie 14/1
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3
Cash Me 40/1
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4
Flash Of Fire 15/2
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5
Speckled Meadow 9/1
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6
San Aer Fox #2 15/2
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7
Lady Arwen 14/1
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8
Amplitude Fox #1 7/1
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9
Aquilla Star 12/1
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10
Titanium 14/1
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11
Flying Fortress 18/1
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12
Earls 16/1
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13
Jp's Express Fox #3 5/1
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14
Excuzio Joe 15/2
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—
The Rock Factor 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Amplitude 15/2 8TH
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2
San Aer 11/2 6TH
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3
Jp's Express 4/1 13TH
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4
Lady Mary Heath 6/1 SP 100/30F 🏆 WON