racingtv.com Handicap Stakes

15:55 Nottingham Wed 04 Nov 2026 1m75y Class 6 Soft 15 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Rogers Dream

SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 18%

12TH

Mr Fox says

Rogers Dream (SR:73, 5/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries a relatively light 9-5, giving it a meaningful weight advantage over top-weight Look Back Smiling (SR:69, 9-13). Crucially, GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on soft ground — the single most important factor on this card — and the market has backed that up with a 15% inward move. The trainer Gihan Arnolda has 9% strike rate across only 66 runners suggesting a yard that picks spots, and the recent form of 431332 shows consistent competitiveness at this class with a last-time-out placed effort just 7 days ago. MarkMv:+13 is a concern — the mark has risen 13lb since the last win — but the superior SR, confirmed going suitability, and market confidence outweigh that reservation in a field where no rival combines all three signals. Each-way alternative: Just Queen High. Main danger: Just Queen High — Just Queen High (SR:67, 11/2) has Course:W2P2 — two wins and two places at Nottingham — carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-6, has been backed 14% inward, and MarkMv:-8 means it is running off a mark 8lb below its last win, making it dangerously well-treated if it handles the soft ground (GoingFit:? is the only reservation).

Verify· #27018

Full result

Winner: Supreme Dancer (IRE) at SP 25/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.