← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Claiming Race
Mr Fox’s call
Saint Acclaim
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Saint Acclaim (SR 73, 5/2) carries 10-2 but is the third-youngest horse and shows a 0-2-3 recent form line suggesting progressive improvement at this level. Crucially, DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at 6f — the only runner with that strong distance stamp — while GoingFit:? is a mild concern but AW good at Dundalk is a consistent surface. The favourite Apache Outlaw (SR 79, 11/8) has DistFit:- at this trip, has drifted 6% in the market, and a form string of 2-3-9-6-9-5 showing no recent wins despite Course:W4P8 presence; the market drift and poor trip record are specific flaws. Saint Acclaim's trainer J.P. Murtagh fields Ben Coen (11% strike rate, 1,941 runners) — a solidly credentialed booking for this grade. Each-way alternative: Go Athletico. Main danger: Apache Outlaw — Apache Outlaw (SR 79) holds the highest SR in the field and has Course:W4P8 at Dundalk, meaning he knows the track intimately — if the DistFit:- concern is overridden by his track craft, he is fully capable of winning.
Full result
Winner: Apache Outlaw (IRE) at SP 11/10F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Apache Outlaw Fox #2 11/10
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2
Go Athletico Fox #3 7/2
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3
Saint Acclaim Fox #1 5/2
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4
Star Allure 66/1
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5
Thurso 28/1
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6
Aughlish 33/1
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7
Jallaaf 50/1
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8
Venetian 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Saint Acclaim 5/2 🥉 3RD
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2
Apache Outlaw 11/8 SP 11/10F 🏆 WON
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3
Go Athletico 10/3 🥈 2ND