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16:40 Dundalk (AW) Wed 04 Nov 2026 0m6f0y Good 11 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Thumama Glory silks

Thumama Glory

SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 26%

5TH

Mr Fox says

Thumama Glory (SR 88, 5/2) is the market's clear conviction play, having been backed in 25% from its opening price — the strongest inward market move in the field. While its SR of 88 is not the highest, SR in this maiden is measuring horses largely on incomplete evidence, and the form figures 027 show improvement (the 2 is the most recent run, rightmost). Adrian McGuinness and Declan McDonogh is a competent combination. Crucially, the two horses with the highest SR — Red Lily (152) and Moyanna Castle (146) — both carry DistFit:? and GoingFit:?, meaning neither is proven at today's trip or going, limiting confidence in their headline numbers translating today. Monologue (SR 79) has drifted a massive 43% and shows DistFit:- and GoingFit:-, making it very hard to trust despite its market position, and Always Magic has drifted 30% with four runs showing 8444 — going nowhere. The market money on Thumama Glory is the clearest directional signal in the race. Each-way alternative: Red Lily. Main danger: Red Lily — Red Lily (SR 152, 4/1) carries the highest SR in the field by a clear margin and has Seamie Heffernan-calibre connections with Jessica O'Gorman booking, and if the step to 6f on AW suits an unexposed two-year-old, that ability ceiling could translate into a winning run.

Verify· #27044

Full result

Winner: Creature Of Habit (GB) at SP 33/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Creature Of Habit silks Creature Of Habit Edward Lynam · Chris Hayes 28/1
  2. 2 Moyanna Castle silks Moyanna Castle Fox #3 Jamie Heavey · Rory Mulligan(5) 17/2
  3. 3 Esprit De Loi silks Esprit De Loi Noel Meade · Siobhan Rutledge 50/1
  4. 4 Monologue silks Monologue Stephen Thorne · Reese Holohan(5) 10/3
  5. 5 Thumama Glory silks Thumama Glory Fox #1 Adrian McGuinness · Declan McDonogh 3/1
  6. 6 Red Lily silks Red Lily Fox #2 Eddie & Patrick Harty · Jessica O'Gorman(7) 3/1
  7. 7 Always Magic silks Always Magic Jack W Davison · James Ryan 5/2
  8. 8 James Anthony silks James Anthony Fox #4 Donal Commins · Seamie Heffernan 80/1
  9. 9 Always Changing silks Always Changing Ross O'Sullivan · Shane Foley 40/1
  10. 10 Mirissa Beach silks Mirissa Beach Chris Timmons · Robbie Colgan 66/1
  11. 11 Lolapipa silks Lolapipa M A Cahill · Alan Persse(5) 150/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Thumama Glory silks Thumama Glory 5/2 5TH
  2. 2 Red Lily silks Red Lily 4/1 6TH
  3. 3 Moyanna Castle silks Moyanna Castle 10/1 🥈 2ND
  4. 4 James Anthony silks James Anthony 50/1 8TH