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Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
I Bid You Ajou
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 23%
Mr Fox says
I Bid You Ajou (SR:81, 4/1) carries a favourable 9-10 and has steamed 23% in the market — the strongest move in the field — which is a compelling signal in a race where most rivals are drifting. Running off the same mark as last win (MarkMv:=), the 5-year-old has three places at Dundalk (Course:W0P3) showing course familiarity, and the moderate DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ are shared by most of the field, so no specific disadvantage applies. Mark Fahey's 12% strike rate is the best of any trainer here, and the market money arriving at 4/1 — from an opening bigger price — is the clearest directional signal in an otherwise evenly-matched SR cluster (all leading contenders sit between SR 80-84). Each-way alternative: Real Encounter. Main danger: Caffu Zafeen — Caffu Zafeen's form of 905111 shows three consecutive wins and carries the lightest weight (9-8) among the top-SR horses, though the MarkMv:+10 rise is a genuine concern against rivals who are better-treated.
Full result
Winner: Caffu Zafeen (IRE) at SP 100/30. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Caffu Zafeen Fox #3 9/2
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2
Fox In Flight 25/1
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3
I Bid You Ajou Fox #1 3/1
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4
Coincidental Glory 11/1
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5
Collective Power 7/1
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6
Gotta Catch'em All 17/2
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7
Real Encounter Fox #2 4/1
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8
By The Lake 10/1
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9
Sovereign Cry 8/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
I Bid You Ajou 4/1 🥉 3RD
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2
Real Encounter 4/1 7TH
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3
Caffu Zafeen 4/1 SP 100/30 🏆 WON