← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
The Rock Factor
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 SP 11/2 Est. 16%
Mr Fox says
The Rock Factor (SR:52, 5/1) carries the joint-top SR in the field on only 9-10, a favourable weight versus Dancing Steve (SR:54, 10-5) who is drifting badly (Mkt:out50%) and running off a mark 7lb higher than his last win. Emmet Mullins (14% strike rate, 677 runners) is a sharp yard and Ben Coen is a high-quality booking, with the market having firmed 9% (Mkt:in9%) despite a 145-day absence — connections clearly feel this horse is ready to go. The DistFit:? and GoingFit:? flags are unknowns rather than negatives, and at a 17-runner Dundalk handicap at this level, an unexposed 4yo with strong connections tightening in the market is exactly the profile to follow. Each-way alternative: Connova. Main danger: Thompson Gunner — Thompson Gunner (SR:47, 15/2) has Course:W1P4 at Dundalk — by far the best course profile in the race — and runs off a mark 1lb below his last win (MarkMv:-1), giving connections a live each-way chance even if the headgear (blinkers) has not sparked a win so far.
Full result
Winner: The Rock Factor (IRE) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
The Rock Factor Fox #1 10/3
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2
Robot Rock 8/1
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3
One Cool County 8/1
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4
Connova Fox #3 9/2
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5
Dancing Steve Fox #2 9/2
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6
Lisnadill 80/1
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7
Miss Glenville 80/1
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8
Suerte 18/1
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9
Pettus Bridge 4/1
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10
Star Mind 14/1
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11
Jess Abi 22/1
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12
Zitkala Sa 50/1
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13
Onyeisi 50/1
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14
Thompson Gunner Fox #4 14/1
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—
My First Rose 14/1
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—
Kings Gesture 40/1
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—
Sarfarcat 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
The Rock Factor 5/1 SP 11/2 🏆 WON
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2
Dancing Steve 15/2 5TH
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3
Connova 15/2 🏁 4TH
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4
Thompson Gunner 15/2 14TH