← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Racing Tv Free Trial For A Month Maiden Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Palinca
MEDIUM Advised 1/2 SP 1/3F Est. 37%
Mr Fox says
Palinca (SR:161, 1/2) is the standout on raw ability — the highest SR in the field by 5 points over Zara's Dream (SR:156) and 10 over Dooks (SR:151) — trained by Henry de Bromhead (16%, 2428 runners), a yard that does not send horses of this profile to a 17-runner Wexford maiden without serious intent. The form reads '1-' suggesting a flat win on record before switching codes, and the weight (10-6) is 7lb lighter than the second-best handicapped runners. Zara's Dream (SR:156, 6/4) is the closest challenger on SR but has only a single fifth-place finish to show and, critically, has been beaten into second-favourite by Palinca's shorter price — the market at 1/2 tells you the trade is not splitting hairs here. Dooks (SR:151, 3/1) is steaming (Mkt:in11%) but that Elliott runner carries 10-13 against Palinca's 10-6, a 7lb weight concession that more than offsets the 10-point SR gap in Palinca's favour. Each-way alternative: Dooks. Main danger: Zara's Dream — Zara's Dream (SR:156, 6/4) is trained by Willie Mullins (26% career strike rate, 2983 runners — the highest strike rate in the field) and has been backed in aggressively (Mkt:in20%), meaning the market respects her Mullins-polish enough to make her a live threat if Palinca has any hurdling inexperience on debut over obstacles.
Full result
Winner: Palinca (FR) at SP 1/3F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Palinca Fox #1 1/2
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2
Zara's Dream Fox #2 5/2
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3
Timandi 50/1
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4
East Wall 12/1
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5
Gregwell 33/1
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6
Mrs Wright 18/1
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7
Midnight Reign 80/1
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8
Trinity Belle 40/1
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9
Soleil D'aure 40/1
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10
That's It Girl 80/1
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11
Melody D'Arc 33/1
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12
Vinted Vinnie 33/1
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13
Rossie Girl 33/1
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14
A Poets Day Out 33/1
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Dooks Fox #3 -
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Huntin Boots 11/4
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Bombay Pat 10/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Palinca 1/2 SP 1/3F 🏆 WON
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2
Zara's Dream 6/4 🥈 2ND
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3
Dooks 3/1