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Mr Fox’s call
Caprison
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Caprison (SR:150, 3/1) holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field by a clear margin — 3 points above McAllister (SR:147) and 7 above The Farmers Bar (SR:143) — and is trained by Gavin Cromwell (12% strike rate, 3285 runners), comfortably the most reliable yard in this race for converting ability to wins. At 4 years old the form figure of '95' shows recency and development potential, and 11-11 is a pound lighter than the two 11-12 heavyweights. McAllister (SR:147, 7/2) is the obvious rival on ratings but has drifted a severe 23% since opening and has been off 313 days — two significant negatives that tip the balance to Caprison. Keith Donoghue (13%, 1348 rides) is a meaningfully stronger booking than the jockeys on most rivals, adding a further positive signal. Each-way alternative: McAllister. Main danger: McAllister — McAllister (SR:147, 7/2) is only 3 SR points behind Caprison, trained by Paul Nolan who has two other runners acting as pacesetters, and despite the 23% drift and 313-day absence he remains the most experienced and highest-rated rival — a first-time-out bounce-back is always possible at this level.
Full result
Winner: Walking Saint (GB) at SP 100/30. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Walking Saint 9/4
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2
Burning Like Fire 100/1
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3
Lucky Valley 28/1
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4
The Farmers Bar Fox #3 13/2
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5
Caprison Fox #1 7/2
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6
John Gun 50/1
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7
Whispered Verdict Fox #4 14/1
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8
Queen Of The Gales 40/1
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9
McAllister Fox #2 5/2
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10
Thranduil 66/1
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11
Poetic Parable 50/1
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12
Pat's Prodigies 100/1
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13
Galway Star 11/1
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14
Eliodam 18/1
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Western Note 10/1
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Hee Hiles 28/1
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Lyrical Park -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Caprison 3/1 5TH
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2
McAllister 7/2 9TH
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3
The Farmers Bar 6/1 🏁 4TH
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4
Whispered Verdict 8/1 7TH