← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Michael Hickey Memorial Chase (listed)
Mr Fox’s call
The Big Westerner
MEDIUM Advised 4/6 SP 1/3F Est. 55%
Mr Fox says
The Big Westerner (SR 138, 4/6) is the class leader by 3 SR points over Bossofthebrownies and is proven at this trip (DistFit:+), carrying 11-3 which is manageable given his ability advantage. The market has firmed 7% and de Bromhead/O'Keeffe is a strong pairing at a Listed level small-field chase — this is exactly the spot connections have targeted. The 312-day absence and GoingFit:? are the only genuine concerns, but the market is clearly not troubled by either, and the form prior to his break showed a 2-1 sequence at a higher level. No other runner combines SR, market confidence, and trip suitability to the same degree. Each-way alternative: Rocky's Diamond. Main danger: Bossofthebrownies — Bossofthebrownies (SR 135, 9/2) is proven at the trip (DistFit:+), carries 3lb less than the selection, and ran a 1-3-3-2 sequence before his last run — the drift of 25% is a concern but in a 6-runner Listed field market moves can be misleading, and he represents the most credible alternative SR in the field.
Full result
Winner: The Big Westerner (IRE) at SP 1/3F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
The Big Westerner Fox #1 4/11
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2
Bossofthebrownies Fox #2 7/2
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3
Sandor Clegane 17/2
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4
Katie Daniels 33/1
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Rocky's Diamond Fox #3 9/1
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The Enabler SP
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3