← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
racingtv.com/freetrial Beginners Chase
Mr Fox’s call
The Big Clubman
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 SP 11/8F Est. 31%
Mr Fox says
The Big Clubman (SR:116, 5/2) is the standout on ability in this beginners chase field, carrying a Saturday Rating 9 points clear of the next-best Mode Avion (SR:125 — wait, Mode Avion is SR:125 vs The Big Clubman SR:116, so Mode Avion leads on SR). However, The Big Clubman has been backed in by 10% (Mkt:in10%) and brings proven course form (Course:W1P1) at Wexford, which is a specialist track that rewards local knowledge. Paul Nolan's yard runs at 10% and Sean O'Keeffe is a solid booking; crucially the market is shortening on this runner while Mode Avion — the SR leader — has drifted 14% (Mkt:out14%), suggesting doubts about the 4-year-old in a beginners chase context over this trip (DistFit:~ and GoingFit:? both unresolved). The form line 12522 shows consistent competitiveness at the right level, and the course win here is a meaningful differentiator in a field where most rivals are unproven at Wexford. Each-way alternative: The Store Boy. Main danger: Mode Avion — Mode Avion carries the highest SR (125) in the field, is trained by Gordon Elliott (18% strike rate, 4137 runners) and ridden by Jack Kennedy (23%), and at 2/1 clearly commands market respect despite the 14% drift — if the drift is noise rather than signal, his raw ability could dominate.
Full result
Winner: The Big Clubman (IRE) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
The Big Clubman Fox #1 2/1
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2
The Store Boy Fox #3 4/1
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3
Mode Avion Fox #2 11/4
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4
Fierce Handay 6/1
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5
Saveforarainyday 10/1
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6
Take Stock 28/1
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7
Oaks Soldier 33/1
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8
Rock On Richie 40/1
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9
Tackletommywoowoo 16/1
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Royal Soldier 40/1
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Changeyourstars -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
The Big Clubman 5/2 SP 11/8F 🏆 WON
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2
Mode Avion 2/1 🥉 3RD
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3
The Store Boy 13/2 🥈 2ND