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Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

15:40 Chelmsford (AW) Thu 05 Nov 2026 2m Class 4 Good 6 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Mr Freedom silks

Mr Freedom

SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 26%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Mr Freedom (SR:82, 10/3, 9-10) combines the clearest set of aligned signals in this field. His GoingFit:+ on today's good ground is a concrete edge over the market favourite Charging Thunder (GoingFit:~) and Must Believe (GoingFit:-). His mark has dropped 6lb since his last win (MarkMv:-6), giving him a genuine handicap pull, and he carries just 9-10 — 10lb less than Charging Thunder. The 18% market move inward (Mkt:in18%) is the strongest steaming signal in the race and suggests informed support, while his DistFit:~ at 2m is at least not a negative flag unlike Charging Thunder's DistFit:-. Trainer Sheena West's 12% strike rate is modest but the combination of weight advantage, going suitability and market confidence makes this a coherent case. Each-way alternative: Must Believe. Main danger: Must Believe — Must Believe (SR:81, 9/4) is the market's most-backed runner (Mkt:in13%), drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) with Billy Loughnane booked (18% career strike rate from 3,248 rides — easily the strongest jockey appointment in the field), and at only 4 years old has the most scope for improvement, though his GoingFit:- on today's going and a +4lb mark rise since last win are real concerns that keep him off the top spot.

Verify· #27200

Full result

Winner: Must Believe (GB) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Must Believe silks Must Believe Fox #2 George Baker · Billy Loughnane 3/1
  2. 2 Charging Thunder silks Charging Thunder Fox #3 James Owen · Christian Howarth(3) 7/4
  3. 3 Mr Freedom silks Mr Freedom Fox #1 Sheena West · Charles Bishop 4/1
  4. 4 Belle of Kt silks Belle of Kt J. S. Moore · Millie Wonnacott(5) 14/1
  5. 5 Enziya silks Enziya Kevin Pickard · Callum Shepherd 40/1
  6. 6 Pyleates silks Pyleates William Muir & Chris Grassick · Ashley Lewis(3) 9/2

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Mr Freedom silks Mr Freedom 10/3 🥉 3RD
  2. 2 Must Believe silks Must Believe 9/4 SP 3/1 🏆 WON
  3. 3 Charging Thunder silks Charging Thunder 11/4 🥈 2ND