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Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)

16:45 Chelmsford (AW) Thu 05 Nov 2026 7f162y Class 2 Good 12 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Tough Decision silks

Tough Decision

SPECULATIVE Advised evn Est. 38%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Tough Decision (SR 134, evens) is the standout on multiple signals. The market has steamed in 31% — the most aggressive move in this field — indicating strong informed support. At SR 134 it leads the field on ability among horses with market confidence, and carries 9-7 which is not burdensome for a 2yo novice at this level. Tom Clover (17% strike rate) books David Egan, and the single winning form figure (Form:1) on a step up two classes is exactly the profile of a lightly-raced improver being targeted at a specific prize. The ClassMv:↑2 is a concern shared by almost every runner in this field, so it is not a differentiator against Tough Decision. Each-way alternative: Bizzo Flavin. Main danger: Pien de Dane — Pien de Dane carries the highest SR in the field at 147 and has form of 3 on debut — the most solid finishing position among rivals — and at 15/2 offers a live each-way threat if Tough Decision fails to handle the step up in class.

Verify· #27233

Full result

Winner: Berkshire Dream (GB) at SP 28/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Berkshire Dream silks Berkshire Dream Andrew Balding · Jason Watson 33/1
  2. 2 Pien de Dane silks Pien de Dane Fox #2 Hilal Kobeissi · Ivan Rossi 16/1
  3. 3 Tough Decision silks Tough Decision Fox #1 Tom Clover · David Egan 4/5
  4. 4 Bizzo Flavin silks Bizzo Flavin Fox #3 Roger Teal · Rossa Ryan 6/1
  5. 5 Galimix silks Galimix Eve Johnson Houghton · Charles Bishop 9/4
  6. 6 Sheephavenbay silks Sheephavenbay James Horton · George Wood 20/1
  7. 7 One Nine Seven silks One Nine Seven Lemos De Souza · Cieren Fallon 66/1
  8. 8 Omega Fernandez silks Omega Fernandez Lemos De Souza · Darragh Keenan 80/1
  9. 9 Re Shardana silks Re Shardana Clare Hobson · Jack Doughty 80/1
  10. 10 Jeffs On A Mission silks Jeffs On A Mission Edward Smyth-Osbourne · Finley Marsh 33/1
  11. 11 Taran Bolta silks Taran Bolta Jonathan Portman · Harry Davies 40/1
  12. 12 Frankie Power silks Frankie Power Jack Jones · Christian Howarth 125/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Tough Decision silks Tough Decision evn 🥉 3RD
  2. 2 Pien de Dane silks Pien de Dane 15/2 🥈 2ND
  3. 3 Bizzo Flavin silks Bizzo Flavin 13/2 🏁 4TH