← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Dark Side Thunder
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/2 SP 4/1F Est. 14%
Mr Fox says
Dark Side Thunder (SR:60, 15/2) is the most compelling play despite modest ratings across the board. The 23% market support (Mkt:in23%) is the strongest inbound move in the field and stands out sharply against rivals who are mostly drifting. Dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) and running off a mark 8lb below his last win (MarkMv:-8) gives him a structural edge, and the visor first applied adds an intervention angle worth noting. At 15/2 he represents value relative to the market-favourite Preferred (4/1, SR:62) who has DistFit:- and GoingFit:- — two specific proven weaknesses at today's trip and going that the price does not adequately reflect. Each-way alternative: Fuseboard. Main danger: Preferred — Preferred has the joint-highest SR (62), the best trainer-jockey combo (James Tate 18%, Billy Loughnane 18%), and is fresh off just 10 days rest suggesting connections have spotted a quick opportunity — if the going and trip concerns are overstated, the class ability could still see it home.
Full result
Winner: Dark Side Thunder (GB) at SP 4/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Dark Side Thunder Fox #1 9/2
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2
General Assembly 10/1
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3
Pull The Rug 11/1
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4
Tactical Plan 11/2
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5
Poetic Grace 40/1
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6
Travel Agent 15/2
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7
Preferred Fox #3 11/2
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8
Koffee And Kale 13/2
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9
Far Too Fizzy 4/1
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10
Woolridge 12/1
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—
Fuseboard Fox #2 SP
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Dark Side Thunder 15/2 SP 4/1F 🏆 WON
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2
Fuseboard 6/1
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3
Preferred 4/1 7TH