OLBG Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race

12:42 Newbury Thu 05 Nov 2026 2m69y Class 3 Good to Soft 16 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Treasure Planet

SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 26%

7TH

Mr Fox says

Treasure Planet (SR:118, 3/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin over Spirits Bay (SR:121 is second but on a question-mark going and distance fit), carries a workable 11-9, and has been backed dramatically — Mkt:in40% is the strongest market move in the race, suggesting significant informed money. The form line 5232-1 shows a last-time-out win dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1), and while the +3 mark rise is a small negative, Paul Nicholls at 22% strike rate with a conditional jockey booking is a yard that fires these horses when primed. The question marks on DistFit and GoingFit are worth noting, but a 4-year-old on a retrieval mark after a win is the strongest profile in this field. The 40% market compression overrides the absence of proven course/going/distance data — the market has seen something. Each-way alternative: Spirits Bay. Main danger: Spirits Bay — Spirits Bay (SR:121, 9/2) is the second-highest rated horse and has been backed 31% — the second-strongest market move in the field — suggesting the Twiston-Davies yard is confident despite the question marks on distance and going.

Verify· #27110

Full result

Winner: Zarakerjack (FR) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.