← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Grahame Church Memorial Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Nan's Choice
MEDIUM Advised 5/6 Est. 44%
Mr Fox says
Nan's Choice (SR:167, 5/6) carries the highest SR in the field by a clear margin over Princess Day (SR:166) and Royal Response (SR:159), and does so off a flat 11-0 — no weight disadvantage. The Dan Skelton/Harry Skelton combination posts a 22%/27% strike rate and is the dominant force in National Hunt novice hurdles; at 5/6 this yard does not send horses out without serious intent. DistFit:+ confirms proven effectiveness at this trip, and a ClassMv:↓1 means she drops a tier from her last start, giving her an easier target. The 210-day absence and GoingFit:? are the only hesitations, but the form reads 411- with a win last time out and Skelton horses returning from breaks routinely arrive fit. Each-way alternative: Princess Day. Main danger: Royal Response — Royal Response (SR:159, 4/1) is trained by Nicky Henderson (25% strike rate) with Nico de Boinville aboard (26%), and her form of 21- includes a win on debut over hurdles — if the unproven distance and going both suit, she is capable of running Nan's Choice very close.
Full result
Winner: Royal Response (IRE) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Royal Response Fox #3 9/2
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2
The Flaggy Shore 12/1
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3
Connells Cross 12/1
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4
Princess Day Fox #2 13/8
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5
Nan's Choice Fox #1 5/4
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6
La Trinite 300/1
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7
Rosie's Honour 50/1
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8
Martini Majesty 50/1
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9
Gaelic Heather 300/1
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10
Snow Is In The Sky 250/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3