← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Kilwaughter
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 18%
Mr Fox says
Kilwaughter (SR:132, 9/2) carries the lightest weight of the leading SR trio at 11-0, giving him a meaningful lbs advantage over Miami Magic (11-8) and The Jukebox Kid (11-5) despite a slightly lower SR than Miami Magic. His GoingFit:+ confirms he handles good-to-soft, his Course:W1P1 record at Newbury is a concrete positive on a track where course experience matters over 3m, and his last run was a win just 14 days ago indicating peak fitness. The step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) is the main concern, but the 4★ AI rating, the strongest market confidence in the field among leading contenders, and the light weight all offset that. Splendid Fellow (10/3 favourite) is the each-way alternative; the danger is The Jukebox Kid, who has been backed (Mkt:in16%) and whose SR:135 at 11-5 makes him the most credible threat if Kilwaughter finds the class rise a bridge too far. Each-way alternative: Splendid Fellow. Main danger: The Jukebox Kid — The Jukebox Kid (SR:135, 5/1) has been backed meaningfully (Mkt:in16%), carries a favourable 11-5, and his SR is second only to Miami Magic in the field — if he handles the unknown trip and going (DistFit:?, GoingFit:?) he has the ability to score.
Full result
Winner: Masaccio (IRE) at SP 33/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Masaccio 40/1
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2
Miami Magic Fox #4 5/1
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3
Splendid Fellow Fox #2 3/1
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4
Game Colours 22/1
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5
One Big Bang 18/1
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6
Firestream 16/1
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7
Western Monkey 12/1
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8
Kilwaughter Fox #1 11/2
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9
Gowel Road 22/1
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10
Moon Chime 15/2
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11
Bill Baxter 14/1
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12
Docpickedme 50/1
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13
Amirite 50/1
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14
The Jukebox Kid Fox #3 5/1
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15
King of The Lake 25/1
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16
Walking On Air 100/1
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—
Doughmore Bay 22/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Kilwaughter 9/2 8TH
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2
Splendid Fellow 10/3 🥉 3RD
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3
The Jukebox Kid 5/1 14TH
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4
Miami Magic 13/2 🥈 2ND