← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
British Horse Society Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (Div I) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Wordfromhome
MEDIUM Advised 11/8 SP 5/4F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Wordfromhome (SR:160, 11/8) is the highest-rated horse in this field by a clear margin — 7 points above Itsallfrenchtome (SR:153) and 10 points above Block Flight (SR:150) — and crucially is the only runner to have shown a winning debut performance (Form:1), giving it concrete evidence of ability rather than a blank slate. Paul Nicholls (22% strike rate, 594 runners) is a yard that knows how to place bumper horses and Sam Twiston-Davies (18%, 1,078 runners) is a proven booking in this sphere. The market has held steady at 11/8, which against a backdrop of significant drifters elsewhere (Block Flight out 23%, Manu du Noyer out 43%) suggests informed confidence — no drift is a positive signal in its own right here. Each-way alternative: Itsallfrenchtome. Main danger: Itsallfrenchtome — Itsallfrenchtome (SR:153, 9/2, Mkt:in19%) has the second-highest SR in the field, is backed by Harry Fry's 18% yard, and the 19% market shortening on a debutant in a bumper is exactly the kind of whisper that sometimes proves well-founded.
Full result
Winner: Wordfromhome (IRE) at SP 5/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Wordfromhome Fox #1 11/8
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2
Noble Viking Fox #4 12/1
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3
Block Flight Fox #3 13/2
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4
Manu du Noyer 17/2
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5
Le Lempriere 8/1
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6
Alltheliesyatoldme 50/1
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7
Itsallfrenchtome Fox #2 7/2
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8
He's Happy 100/1
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9
Running Dream 40/1
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10
New Perspective 22/1
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11
Rightwillbedone 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Wordfromhome 11/8 SP 5/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Itsallfrenchtome 9/2 7TH
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3
Block Flight 9/2 🥉 3RD
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4
Noble Viking 12/1 🥈 2ND