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Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)
Mr Fox’s call
Thorneylands
MEDIUM Advised 7/4 Est. 39%
Mr Fox says
Thorneylands (SR:106, 7/4) is the clear selection. The market has priced it as a confident favourite and the data backs that confidence: Nicky Richards runs at a 17% career strike rate, Danny McMenamin at 15%, and the horse arrives on a winning form line (last run a '1') with no days-since-last-run concern suggesting freshness. Crucially, GoingFit:? means the good ground is untested rather than proven against it — unlike the majority of rivals who carry an active GoingFit:- flag on today's surface. Thorneylands also carries the lightest competitive weight (11-5) in a field where Bold Light drags 12-2 and GoingFit:- confirmed, making the top-weight's task significantly harder. No classMove penalty applies, and Richards/McMenamin is one of the strongest trainer-jockey combinations in the north. Each-way alternative: Bold Light. Main danger: Bold Light — Bold Light (SR:108, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field, has dropped 11lb since its last win (MarkMv:-11), and despite the top-weight burden of 12-2 and GoingFit:- flag, that SR edge combined with the significant mark concession means it cannot be dismissed entirely.
Full result
Winner: Bogha Baiste (IRE) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Bogha Baiste 6/1
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2
Teofimo 20/1
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3
Presentandcorrect Fox #3 14/1
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4
Bathgate 11/1
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5
Final Straw 22/1
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6
Bold Light Fox #2 7/2
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7
Maghlaak 11/2
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Thorneylands Fox #1 6/4
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Nosy Neighbour -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3