← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Download The Star Sports App Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Crest of Stars
MEDIUM Advised 11/8 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Crest of Stars (SR:129, 11/8) is the most compelling profile in this small field. Crucially, it is the only runner with proven distance and going credentials (DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+), which is a decisive edge in a 3-runner novice chase on Good ground over 2m219y where trip and conditions matter enormously. It carries 6lb less than both Bond Broker and Soomaroy (11-2 vs 11-8), a meaningful weight pull at this class level. The market has also backed it in by 25% (Mkt:in25%), and it holds course form (W0P1 at Plumpton), running at the same class (ClassMv:=) for a trainer striking at 22% from 430 runners — a strong statistical base. The 169-day absence and MarkMv:+3 are minor negatives but are offset by the breadth of positive signals. Each-way alternative: Bond Broker. Main danger: Bond Broker — Bond Broker carries the best SR in the field (132), is strongly backed (Mkt:in26%) and is trained by Paul Nicholls at a 22% strike rate — if the unproven trip and going prove no barrier, it has the class to overpower the selection.
Full result
Winner: Bond Broker (IRE) at SP 6/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Bond Broker Fox #2 7/4
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2
Crest of Stars Fox #1 6/5
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3
Soomaroy Fox #3 10/3
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3