← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Dovey Moon
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 29%
Mr Fox says
Dovey Moon (SR:78, 11/4) shares the joint-top SR in the field alongside Signcastle City, but carries only 1lb more than that rival while boasting a 15% market steam — the strongest money move in the race. David Evans (13% strike rate, 1,033 runners) sends her out with a visor fitted, 7 days after her last run suggesting a quick-turnaround plan, and her mark is down 5lb from her last win. The DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ are modest rather than damning on Southwell AW good, and she has a place here already (Course:W0P1). Signcastle City (SR:78 equal) has GoingFit:- on today's surface and only an 8% steam, making Dovey Moon the cleaner pick among the joint-top rated pair. Each-way alternative: Ey Up He's A Star. Main danger: Signcastle City — Equal SR of 78 to the selection, 1lb lighter at 9-10, and has been steaming (Mkt:in8%) for Richard Hannon with Sean Levey booked — the going concern (GoingFit:-) is real but Southwell AW tends to blunt ground differences and the drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) with a -3lb mark move gives him a live chance.
Full result
Winner: Benacre (IRE) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Benacre 17/2
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2
Midsummer Storm 28/1
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3
Signcastle City Fox #2 3/1
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4
Lillie Margot 17/2
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5
Packetofbiscuits 18/1
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6
Didaar 33/1
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7
Dovey Moon Fox #1 9/4
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8
Rusheen Boy 28/1
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9
Ey Up He's A Star Fox #3 8/1
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10
Calyxoh 16/1
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11
Orangesandlemons Fox #4 9/1
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12
Alessia Fernanda 12/1
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It'sneverjustone -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Dovey Moon 11/4 7TH
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2
Signcastle City 4/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Ey Up He's A Star 7/1 9TH
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4
Orangesandlemons 7/1 11TH