← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Fenaroli
MEDIUM Advised 1/3 SP 1/3F Est. 62%
Mr Fox says
Fenaroli (SR 159, 1/3) is the class standout in this field by a clear margin — 5 points above the next-best Bombora and 21-32 points above the rest. The market has backed this up emphatically with an 11% inward move to a dominant 1/3 price, signalling strong stable and market confidence. Harry Charlton sends Colin Keane — a rider with 2,422 career rides and 16% strike rate — to partner a horse whose sole run produced an SR of 159 at Class 3 level, matching today's grade exactly (ClassMv:=). The only flag is Bombora's drift (Mkt:out6%), which reinforces rather than undermines Fenaroli's case. Each-way alternative: Munajad. Main danger: Bombora — Bombora (SR 154, 3/1) is the only runner whose ability rating comes anywhere near Fenaroli's, and a form line of 8-3 shows meaningful improvement — however, the 6% drift suggests the market is not convinced it can reverse the class gap today.
Full result
Winner: Fenaroli (GB) at SP 1/3F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Fenaroli Fox #1 1/3
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2
Munajad Fox #3 33/1
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3
Knightbolt 25/1
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4
Rogue Inferno 33/1
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5
Bombora Fox #2 3/1
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6
Harrow On The Hill 16/1
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7
The Dark Prince 22/1
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8
Leabank 80/1
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9
Kesari 125/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Fenaroli 1/3 SP 1/3F 🏆 WON
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2
Bombora 3/1 5TH
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3
Munajad 18/1 🥈 2ND