← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Make The Move To Midnite Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Celestial Fire
SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 SP 7/4F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Celestial Fire (SR 154, 2/1) is the clear SR leader in this field by 7 points over Moulton Queen (SR 147) and carries a favourable 9-2 — same as Moulton Queen but ahead on ability. The market has steamed in 15%, a meaningful signal in a maiden with limited public form available, and trainer Archie Watson (15% strike rate, 1428 runners) and Hollie Doyle (14%, 2302 runners) are a reliable combination. The only caveat is 164 days off the track and an unproven trip and going (DistFit:?, GoingFit:?), but dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) into a Band B/C/D restricted maiden softens that concern considerably, and the strong SR advantage over the rest of the field gives Watson's team clear reason to expect improvement at this level. Each-way alternative: Moulton Queen. Main danger: Moulton Queen — Moulton Queen (SR 147, 6/1) is a debutante from Tom Clover's yard (17% strike rate — the highest trainer strike rate in the field), has shortened 7% in the market, and her untapped ability as an unraced filly means she could outperform her SR on debut if Clover has her ready.
Full result
Winner: Celestial Fire (IRE) at SP 7/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Celestial Fire Fox #1 2/1
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2
Classic Bellini 15/2
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3
Hoya Bella 9/4
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4
Miss Clarice 80/1
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5
Moulton Queen Fox #2 7/2
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6
Candy Is Dandy 125/1
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7
Alanka Fox #4 22/1
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8
Thriving Miss Lacy 25/1
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9
Love Always 250/1
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10
Cotai Power 33/1
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11
Wadima Fox #3 10/1
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Setubal SP
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Celestial Fire 2/1 SP 7/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Moulton Queen 6/1 5TH
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3
Wadima 7/1 11TH
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4
Alanka 14/1 7TH