← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Rokanako
MEDIUM Advised 5/6 SP 10/11F Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Rokanako (SR 158, 5/6) is the standout on ability — a 7-point SR gap over the next-best S T Hamo (SR 151) is significant in a maiden of this quality. The market has firmed 7% to odds-on, confirming confidence from connections. DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ are moderate rather than negative, meaning good ground at 2m poses no proven problem. Running just 6 days ago shows freshness rather than a worry — this yard clearly has the horse ready to go. With tongue-tie (HG:h) also applied, connections are treating this as a serious winning opportunity. Each-way alternative: S T Hamo. Main danger: S T Hamo — S T Hamo (SR 151, 7/2) is 7 points below Rokanako on SR but has J.J. Slevin-level booking in James Smith and comparable DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~, meaning if Rokanako underperforms the well-backed favourite, S T Hamo is the most able alternative — though the 21% drift in the market is a concern.
Full result
Winner: Rokanako (IRE) at SP 10/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Rokanako Fox #1 4/5
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2
Le Vent d'Ex 250/1
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3
S T Hamo Fox #2 9/1
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4
Kinbara Fiftyfifty 50/1
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5
Don't Hold Back 2/1
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6
Our Sonny Fox #3 11/1
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7
Pros And Cons 33/1
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8
Dunville Destiny 80/1
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9
Highland Call 20/1
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10
Carleys Lilly 18/1
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11
N Kelleher 125/1
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—
For My Lady SP
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Rokanako 5/6 SP 10/11F 🏆 WON
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2
S T Hamo 7/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Our Sonny 10/1 6TH