← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Clonmel Oil Service Station Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Hopeful Hero
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Hopeful Hero (SR:120, 11/4) is the only runner in the field with a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground — a critical edge in a seven-runner handicap where five rivals show GoingFit:- or unknown. The market has backed this up emphatically with a 14% inward move, making it the clear market mover. Mark Walsh (21% career strike rate, 763 runners) is the standout jockey booking in the race by some margin, and the trainer T. Hogan's 5% strike rate is modest but the connections have clearly targeted this day given the market confidence. The form string 032415 shows a last-time-out fifth but the going preference and market money override any concern about that run. Each-way alternative: Boo Radley. Main danger: Boo Radley — Boo Radley (SR:108, 5/1) is trained by W.P. Mullins (26% strike rate, 2,984 runners — the best training operation in the field by a wide margin) and has steamed in 36% in the market, suggesting strong stable confidence despite the GoingFit:- flag and unproven trip.
Full result
Winner: J'arrive De L'est (FR) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
J'Arrive de L'Est 7/1
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2
Hopeful Hero Fox #1 9/4
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3
Nelson Muntz Fox #3 9/2
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4
Boo Radley Fox #2 6/1
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5
Zoffman 9/2
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6
Smallcraftwarning 17/2
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7
Ceanndana 8/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3