← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
T.A. Morris Memorial Irish EBF Mares Steeplechase (Listed)
Mr Fox’s call
Dinoblue
MEDIUM Advised 1/9 Est. 54%
Mr Fox says
Dinoblue (SR 161, 1/9) is in a different class to this field — a 35-point SR gap over the next-best A Snow White Park (SR 126) is enormous at Listed level. She carries 11-5 but that weight advantage concern is moot given the SR dominance; her form reads 21111- with four consecutive wins before an absence and she returns to a course where she has won before (Course:W1P1) over a trip she handles well (DistFit:+). The only flag is GoingFit:? on good ground, but her class is so far superior that ground uncertainty cannot realistically deny her. The 1/9 price simply reflects that this is a near-certainty barring a mishap. Each-way alternative: A Snow White Park. Main danger: A Snow White Park — A Snow White Park (SR 126, 5/6) is the only horse with any realistic claim — the market has hammered her in by 80%, she is 5yo and potentially progressive, and her last two runs show back-to-back wins (Form:522U11), making her the only horse in the field capable of capitalising if Dinoblue suffers a jumping error or mishap.
Full result
Winner: A Snow White Park (IRE) at SP 8/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
A Snow White Park Fox #2 8/11
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2
Bynx 22/1
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3
Jolie Jewel Fox #3 11/8
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4
Chosen Shant 50/1
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Dinoblue Fox #1 1/9
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3