Ayr — 3 · 3m7½F · 27 Fences
Every runner. Every signal. One decision.
"In a wide-open Scottish Grand National, AI models largely converge on leading contenders like Kim Roque, King Of Answers and MONTREGARD based on strong ratings and market support. However, the Fox sides with value, sticking with ante-post pick PROMONTORY at 16/1 (33/1 antepost) — a lightly raced, progressive runner with each-way potential."
SR 122 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 132 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 113 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 132 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 130 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 88 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
SR 121 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 117 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 139 backed by market confidence at 6/1 — a genuine contender.
SR 120 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 130 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.
Kim Roque owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (77) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick, the Fox's call and the AI view — all on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →The benchmark pick. If you beat the Fox, you're ahead of the field.
See full Fox reasoning →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 139 backed by market confidence at 6/1 — a genuine contender.
SR 132 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 130 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 122 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 132 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 130 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Tops the model. Highest SR in the race at 149, RPR 155, TS 143 — the only horse in the top four tiers on all three metrics. Form figures -11P21 show a horse on an upward curve with a recent win, and 11-1 is a workable weight. Soft ground is a plus. Composite score: 82.1
To bring structure to a typically chaotic handicap, ChatGPT used a composite scoring model built around both ability and race-specific factors. The core is an ability score (60%), blending Saturday Rating, AI score, RPR and TS, all normalised across the field. This is supported by recent form (12%), rewarding horses arriving in peak condition, alongside adjustments for stamina profile, favouring 7–9-year-olds, and weight suitability, with preference for those in the 10-10 to 11-4 range. A light market check is included to keep the model grounded without overriding the data, producing a balanced framework tailored to the demands of the Scottish Grand National.
AI Rating Score: Kim Roque holds the highest AI-generated score of 65.2, indicating the system views its current profile as the most robust in the field. Rating Balance: With a saturday_rating of 139 and a respectable RPR of 148, the horse is well-handicapped relative to the top weights while showing more consistency in its recent form compared to others in the top tier of the market. Reliability: The AI analysis highlights the horse as a "genuine contender," distinguishing it from horses with higher peak RPRs (like Montregard or King of Answers) that may carry more volatility in their performance profiles.
This is where Cubs make their call. This is where the Fox sharpens his edge. This is where the race is decided — before it's run.