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14:40 Newcastle (AW) 27 Jun 2026 JenningsBet Festival Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation Race For Northumberland Plate) (GBBPlus Race)

  • 20 Runners
  • Class 2 Class
  • 2m56y Trip
  • Good to Soft Going
Racecard
1

Charging Thunder

Mason Paetel(5) James Owen

63SR 88OR 18/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+47 pts trend
↗ Climbing 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 57 · Field avg 48 +8

Going Record

on Good to Soft
40%
~ Mixed

7 wins, 12 placed · 47 runs

This runner 17% · Field avg 25% -8

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Trainer hot
  • Mason Paetel 57 wins from 526 rides 11 WIN %
  • James Owen 444 wins from 2381 runners 19 WIN %
  • Pairing 17 wins from 142 together 12WIN %
2

Chemistry

Lewis Edmunds Jennie Candlish

70SR 88OR 20/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 55 · Field avg 48 +7

Going Record

on Good to Soft
50%
✓ Proven

2 wins, 4 placed · 12 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 25% -25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Lewis Edmunds 236 wins from 1973 rides 12 WIN %
  • Jennie Candlish 154 wins from 914 runners 17 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 30 together 7WIN %
3

Alphonse Le Grande

Sam Coen(5) A J Martin

73SR 87OR 9/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+30 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 48 -8

Going Record

on Good to Soft
31%
~ Mixed

6 wins, 3 placed · 29 runs

This runner 29% · Field avg 25% +4

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Sam Coen 50 wins from 444 rides 11 WIN %
  • A. J. Martin 40 wins from 606 runners 7 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 2 together 0WIN %
4

Shrimp Shady

Rob Hornby Andrew Balding

93SR 87OR 4/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-30 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 60 · Field avg 48 +12

Going Record

on Good to Soft
50%
✓ Proven

2 wins, 4 placed · 12 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 25% +25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Trainer hot
  • Rob Hornby 246 wins from 2166 rides 11 WIN %
  • Andrew Balding 572 wins from 3169 runners 18 WIN %
  • Pairing 28 wins from 197 together 14WIN %
5

Artisan Dancer

Cieren Fallon Charlie Johnston

60SR 86OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-15 pts trend
↘ Fading 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 23 · Field avg 48 -26

Going Record

on Good to Soft
57%
✓ Proven

8 wins, 19 placed · 47 runs

This runner 30% · Field avg 25% +5

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Cieren Fallon 345 wins from 1960 rides 18 WIN %
  • Charlie Johnston 341 wins from 2613 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 13 together 15WIN %
6

Sax Appeal

Daniel Muscutt Charlie Johnston

58SR 86OR 22/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 50 · Field avg 48 +2

Going Record

on Good to Soft
52%
✓ Proven

10 wins, 13 placed · 44 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 25% +25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Daniel Muscutt 250 wins from 1800 rides 14 WIN %
  • Charlie Johnston 341 wins from 2613 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 6 wins from 56 together 11WIN %
7

Laafy

Connor Beasley Brian Ellison

56SR 86OR 80/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 48 -23

Going Record

on Good to Soft
35%
~ Mixed

2 wins, 4 placed · 17 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 25% +25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Connor Beasley 232 wins from 1733 rides 13 WIN %
  • Brian Ellison 131 wins from 1266 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 4 wins from 28 together 14WIN %
8

Premiere Ligne

Jack Nicholls(5) Hughie Morrison

54SR 82OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+30 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 48 -8

Going Record

on Good to Soft
36%
~ Mixed

2 wins, 3 placed · 14 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 25% -25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Jack Nicholls 69 wins from 596 rides 12 WIN %
  • Hughie Morrison 71 wins from 592 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
9

Believitanducan

William Buick Alan King

91SR 82OR 11/4Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-7 pts trend
→ Steady 5 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 80 · Field avg 48 +32

Going Record

on Good to Soft
75%
★ Specialist

7 wins, 5 placed · 16 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 25% +75

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Jockey hot
  • William Buick 394 wins from 1552 rides 25 WIN %
  • Alan King 204 wins from 1285 runners 16 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 8 together 12WIN %
10

Brosna Town

Ray Dawson Jessica Bedi

54SR 81OR 100/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+30 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 48 -8

Going Record

on Good to Soft
32%
~ Mixed

2 wins, 4 placed · 19 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 25% -25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Ray Dawson 179 wins from 1271 rides 14 WIN %
  • Jessica Bedi 8 wins from 203 runners 4 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
11

Hermetic

Luke Morris Ian Williams

68SR 81OR 11/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 28 · Field avg 48 -20

Going Record

on Good to Soft
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 4 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 25% -25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Luke Morris 385 wins from 3160 rides 12 WIN %
  • Ian Williams 250 wins from 2236 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 4 wins from 49 together 8WIN %
12

Savrola

Paul Mulrennan Dianne Sayer

70SR 80OR 18/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-60 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 55 · Field avg 48 +7

Going Record

on Good to Soft
39%
~ Mixed

4 wins, 5 placed · 23 runs

This runner 38% · Field avg 25% +13

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Paul Mulrennan 355 wins from 2513 rides 14 WIN %
  • Dianne Sayer 49 wins from 328 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 10 wins from 45 together 22WIN %
13

Arc Zoosve

Dougie Costello Neil King

83SR 79OR 10/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 4 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Pace collision Wants the lead, but three or more rivals want it too. A contested lead burns the front-runner and sets the race up for the closers. pace_map
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-75 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 63 · Field avg 48 +14

Going Record

on Good to Soft
52%
✓ Proven

6 wins, 6 placed · 23 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 25% -25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Trainer hot
  • Dougie Costello 91 wins from 894 rides 10 WIN %
  • Neil King 40 wins from 189 runners 21 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 4 together 0WIN %
14

St Faz

Mikey Sheehy Adrian Paul Keatley

79SR 78OR 11/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Pace collision Wants the lead, but three or more rivals want it too. A contested lead burns the front-runner and sets the race up for the closers. pace_map

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-18 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 41 · Field avg 48 -8

Going Record

on Good to Soft
50%
✓ Proven

5 wins, 9 placed · 28 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 25% +8

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • M. P. Sheehy 33 wins from 443 rides 7 WIN %
  • Adrian Keatley 119 wins from 780 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 13 wins from 113 together 12WIN %
15

Fast Fred

Sam James Phillip Makin

68SR 77OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+20 pts trend
↗ Climbing 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 60 · Field avg 48 +12

Going Record

on Good to Soft
58%
✓ Proven

5 wins, 13 placed · 31 runs

This runner 20% · Field avg 25% -5

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Sam James 184 wins from 1308 rides 14 WIN %
  • Phillip Makin 52 wins from 439 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 9 wins from 81 together 11WIN %
16

Boxing Great

Adam Caffrey Karl Thornton

65SR 76OR 16/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+75 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 63 · Field avg 48 +14

Going Record

on Good to Soft
47%
~ Mixed

4 wins, 3 placed · 15 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 25% -25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Adam Caffrey 96 wins from 1043 rides 9 WIN %
  • Karl Thornton 38 wins from 280 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 11 together 18WIN %
17

Treasure Islands

David Allan Tim Easterby

74SR 75OR 18/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-32 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 46 · Field avg 48 -3

Going Record

on Good to Soft
38%
~ Mixed

1 win, 2 placed · 8 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 25% -25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • David Allan 289 wins from 2284 rides 13 WIN %
  • Tim Easterby 510 wins from 4797 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 246 wins from 1907 together 13WIN %
18

Haveyoumissedme

Andrew Mullen Iain Jardine

65SR 72OR 18/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-12 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 51 · Field avg 48 +2

Going Record

on Good to Soft
43%
~ Mixed

5 wins, 13 placed · 42 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 25% +25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Andrew Mullen 160 wins from 1610 rides 10 WIN %
  • Iain Jardine 188 wins from 1619 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 74 wins from 663 together 11WIN %
19

Clansman

Rhys Elliott(5) Liam Bailey

51SR 71OR 50/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Pace collision Wants the lead, but three or more rivals want it too. A contested lead burns the front-runner and sets the race up for the closers. pace_map

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-45 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 48 · Field avg 48 -1

Going Record

on Good to Soft
45%
~ Mixed

5 wins, 12 placed · 38 runs

This runner 27% · Field avg 25% +2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Rhys Elliott(5) 47 wins from 681 rides 7 WIN %
  • Liam Bailey 47 wins from 505 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 2 together 0WIN %
20

Day Trader

N G McCullagh A J Martin

62SR 70OR 16/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+40 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 45 · Field avg 48 -3

Going Record

on Good to Soft
33%
~ Mixed

1 win, 6 placed · 21 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 25% -25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • N G McCullagh 14 wins from 422 rides 3 WIN %
  • A. J. Martin 40 wins from 606 runners 7 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 20 together 0WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
6 Steamers
10 Drifters
4 Flat