Race Card Explorer BETA

14:45 Chester 11 Jul 2026 Tom Jones Live At Chester Racecourse Handicap (Div 1)

  • 9 Runners
  • Class 4 Class
  • 7f127y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Percy's Lad

Edward Greatrex Daniel & Claire Kubler

83SR 87OR 9/4Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+10 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 45 · Field avg 38 +7

Going Record

on Good
35%
~ Mixed

6 wins, 5 placed · 31 runs

This runner 35% · Field avg 37% -2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Edward Greatrex 132 wins from 927 rides 14 WIN %
  • Daniel & Claire Kubler 118 wins from 704 runners 17 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 3 together 0WIN %
2

Miami Matrix

Donagh Murphy(7) Patrick Morris

82SR 84OR 6/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-15 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 38 -1

Going Record

on Good
42%
~ Mixed

2 wins, 3 placed · 12 runs

This runner 44% · Field avg 37% +7

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Donagh Murphy 18 wins from 219 rides 8 WIN %
  • Patrick Morris 48 wins from 578 runners 8 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 12 together 8WIN %
3

Obelix

Dylan Hogan Julie Camacho

84SR 83OR 3/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-15 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 38 +4

Going Record

on Good
23%
✗ Avoid

4 wins, 3 placed · 31 runs

This runner 29% · Field avg 37% -8

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Dylan Hogan 115 wins from 1011 rides 11 WIN %
  • Julie Camacho 116 wins from 1008 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 18 together 11WIN %
4

Vixey

Aiden Brookes Simon West

71SR 77OR 15/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-3 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 38 +5

Going Record

on Good
62%
★ Specialist

5 wins, 15 placed · 32 runs

This runner 61% · Field avg 37% +24

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Aiden Brookes 56 wins from 620 rides 9 WIN %
  • Simon West 9 wins from 96 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing 6 wins from 42 together 14WIN %
6

He's A Gentleman

Jack Callan(3) Hugo Palmer

78SR 76OR 18/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 45 · Field avg 38 +7

Going Record

on Good
48%
~ Mixed

6 wins, 19 placed · 52 runs

This runner 45% · Field avg 37% +8

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Jack Callan 105 wins from 778 rides 13 WIN %
  • Hugo Palmer 201 wins from 1537 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 17 together 0WIN %
7

Moon Beginnings

Laura Pearson David Loughnane

71SR 74OR 11/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 28 · Field avg 38 -11

Going Record

on Good
18%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 1 placed · 11 runs

This runner 22% · Field avg 37% -15

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Laura Pearson 39 wins from 384 rides 10 WIN %
  • David Loughnane 98 wins from 830 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 20 wins from 166 together 12WIN %
8

Paws For Thought

David Allan Donald McCain

60SR 72OR 25/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 38 -13

Going Record

on Good
29%
✗ Avoid

7 wins, 7 placed · 49 runs

This runner 30% · Field avg 37% -7

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • David Allan 272 wins from 2154 rides 13 WIN %
  • Donald McCain 108 wins from 704 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 4 together 0WIN %
9

Advance Twentyfive

Harry Russell Richard & Peter Fahey

55SR 78OR 22/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+20 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 38 -3

Going Record

on Good
25%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 2 placed · 12 runs

This runner 25% · Field avg 37% -12

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Harry Russell 46 wins from 562 rides 8 WIN %
  • Richard & Peter Fahey 60 wins from 603 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 21 together 5WIN %
10

Giant

Harry Davies Ian Williams

69SR 60OR 7/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+13 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 38 +5

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

4 wins, 12 placed · 48 runs

This runner 41% · Field avg 37% +4

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Harry Davies 161 wins from 1259 rides 13 WIN %
  • Ian Williams 243 wins from 2142 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 8 together 12WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
6 Steamers
3 Drifters
0 Flat