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19:51 Southwell (AW) 6 Aug 2026 Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes (Div II)

  • 9 Runners
  • Class 5 Class
  • 6f17y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Beattie Is Back

Ethan Tindall(5) Richard & Peter Fahey

70SR 70OR 5/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+48 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 49 · Field avg 43 +6

Going Record

on Good
37%
~ Mixed

5 wins, 8 placed · 35 runs

This runner 30% · Field avg 35% -5

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Ethan Tindall(5) 35 wins from 353 rides 10 WIN %
  • Richard & Peter Fahey 71 wins from 727 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 6 wins from 90 together 7WIN %
2

Dorney Lake

Daniel Tudhope Liam Bailey

74SR 69OR 13/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 4 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-15 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 58 · Field avg 43 +14

Going Record

on Good
26%
✗ Avoid

6 wins, 2 placed · 31 runs

This runner 27% · Field avg 35% -8

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Jockey hot
  • Daniel Tudhope 359 wins from 1965 rides 18 WIN %
  • Liam Bailey 47 wins from 505 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 35 together 6WIN %
3

Spirit Of Jenny

Dougie Costello Steph Hollinshead

73SR 68OR 4/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-40 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 45 · Field avg 43 +2

Going Record

on Good
46%
~ Mixed

1 win, 5 placed · 13 runs

This runner 38% · Field avg 35% +3

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Dougie Costello 91 wins from 894 rides 10 WIN %
  • Steph Hollinshead 33 wins from 325 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 12 wins from 132 together 9WIN %
4

Fierce

Jason Hart Paul Midgley

69SR 67OR 10/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-12 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 51 · Field avg 43 +8

Going Record

on Good
39%
★ Specialist

3 wins, 10 placed · 33 runs

This runner 55% · Field avg 35% +20

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Jason Hart 403 wins from 2815 rides 14 WIN %
  • Paul Midgley 114 wins from 1048 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 11 wins from 54 together 20WIN %
5

Baba Reza

Clifford Lee Julie Camacho

69SR 67OR 7/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-17 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 43 0

Going Record

on Good
42%
~ Mixed

4 wins, 9 placed · 31 runs

This runner 48% · Field avg 35% +13

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Clifford Lee 282 wins from 1684 rides 17 WIN %
  • Julie Camacho 119 wins from 1077 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 7 together 14WIN %
6

Jesse Luc

Luke Morris Mike Murphy

71SR 66OR 4/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+12 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 43 0

Going Record

on Good
50%
✓ Proven

6 wins, 11 placed · 34 runs

This runner 42% · Field avg 35% +7

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Luke Morris 385 wins from 3160 rides 12 WIN %
  • Mike Murphy 31 wins from 271 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 8 together 0WIN %
7

Sarafina Mshairi

Ashley Lewis(3) Edward Smyth-Osbourne

47SR 64OR 20/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 28 · Field avg 43 -16

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

2 wins, 4 placed · 18 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 35% -2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Ashley Lewis 74 wins from 561 rides 13 WIN %
  • Edward Smyth-Osbourne 17 wins from 174 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 15 together 0WIN %
8

Camera Shy

Daniel Muscutt Michael Dods

62SR 63OR 11/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 28 · Field avg 43 -16

Going Record

on Good
14%
✗ Avoid

2 wins, 1 placed · 22 runs

This runner 18% · Field avg 35% -17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Daniel Muscutt 250 wins from 1800 rides 14 WIN %
  • Michael Dods 205 wins from 1745 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 13 together 15WIN %
9

Fan Mail

David Allan Tim Easterby

60SR 63OR 17/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+3 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 43 0

Going Record

on Good
22%
✗ Avoid

2 wins, 4 placed · 27 runs

This runner 22% · Field avg 35% -13

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • David Allan 289 wins from 2284 rides 13 WIN %
  • Tim Easterby 510 wins from 4797 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 246 wins from 1907 together 13WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
4 Steamers
5 Drifters
0 Flat