Race Card Explorer BETA

18:00 Ayr 8 Aug 2026 Sunday Roast At Western House Hotel Handicap Stakes

  • 12 Runners
  • Class 6 Class
  • 0m5f0y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Hi Lord

Barry McHugh W H Harrison

61SR 66RPR 65OR 7/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-23 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 37 · Field avg 45 -9

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

1 win, 3 placed · 12 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 32% +1

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Barry McHugh 49 wins from 585 rides 8 WIN %
  • W H Harrison 1 wins from 15 runners 7 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 9 together 11WIN %
3

Harb

Lexie Clarkson(7) Tristan Davidson

60SR 70RPR 61OR 9/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 60 · Field avg 45 +15

Going Record

on Good
34%
~ Mixed

10 wins, 11 placed · 62 runs

This runner 42% · Field avg 32% +10

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Lexie Clarkson 1 wins from 22 rides 5 WIN %
  • Tristan Davidson 60 wins from 397 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 5 together 0WIN %
4

Water Of Leith

Paul Mulrennan Jim Goldie

62SR 65RPR 60OR 4/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-12 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 31 · Field avg 45 -14

Going Record

on Good
37%
~ Mixed

12 wins, 25 placed · 101 runs

This runner 45% · Field avg 32% +13

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Paul Mulrennan 342 wins from 2397 rides 14 WIN %
  • Jim Goldie 284 wins from 2026 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 142 wins from 763 together 19WIN %
5

Startling

Jason Hart John Wainwright

61SR 65RPR 60OR 10/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+25 pts trend
↗ Climbing 5 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 78 · Field avg 45 +32

Going Record

on Good
56%
★ Specialist

6 wins, 12 placed · 32 runs

This runner 56% · Field avg 32% +24

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Jason Hart 384 wins from 2666 rides 14 WIN %
  • John Wainwright 32 wins from 306 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 4 wins from 12 together 33WIN %
6

Midnight Lir

Sean Kirrane Michael Dods

51SR 64RPR 59OR 16/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-10 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 45 -10

Going Record

on Good
32%
~ Mixed

2 wins, 8 placed · 31 runs

This runner 13% · Field avg 32% -19

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Sean Kirrane 129 wins from 1176 rides 11 WIN %
  • Michael Dods 203 wins from 1669 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 23 wins from 170 together 14WIN %
7

South Parade

Ethan Tindall(5) Richard & Peter Fahey

57SR 63RPR 58OR 4/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+37 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 45 -2

Going Record

on Good
42%
~ Mixed

4 wins, 9 placed · 31 runs

This runner 29% · Field avg 32% -3

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Ethan Tindall(3) 34 wins from 319 rides 11 WIN %
  • Richard & Peter Fahey 60 wins from 603 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 76 together 7WIN %
8

Harry Mole

Dougie Costello Steph Hollinshead

63SR 59RPR 57OR 4/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-18 pts trend
↘ Fading 5 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 63 · Field avg 45 +17

Going Record

on Good
45%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 5 placed · 11 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 32% +18

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Dougie Costello 88 wins from 866 rides 10 WIN %
  • Steph Hollinshead 30 wins from 294 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 12 wins from 126 together 10WIN %
9

Keep The Gold

Lewis Edmunds Michael Dods

40SR 61RPR 55OR 18/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+15 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 45 -8

Going Record

on Good
40%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 4 placed · 10 runs

This runner 29% · Field avg 32% -3

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Lewis Edmunds 227 wins from 1874 rides 12 WIN %
  • Michael Dods 203 wins from 1669 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 4 wins from 41 together 10WIN %
10

Falcon Queen

James Sullivan R Mike Smith

31SR 58RPR 57OR 66/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 28 · Field avg 45 -18

Going Record

on Good
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 10 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 32% -32

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • James Sullivan 115 wins from 1362 rides 8 WIN %
  • R. Mike Smith 61 wins from 580 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 22 together 5WIN %
11

Supremissy

Andrew Mullen Iain Jardine

42SR 53RPR 56OR 20/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-10 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 50 · Field avg 45 +5

Going Record

on Good
25%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 1 placed · 8 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 32% +1

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Andrew Mullen 155 wins from 1530 rides 10 WIN %
  • Iain Jardine 177 wins from 1539 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 72 wins from 632 together 11WIN %
12

Royal Duke

Shay Farmer(5) R Mike Smith

47SR 49RPR 46OR 12/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-2 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 49 · Field avg 45 +4

Going Record

on Good
29%
✗ Avoid

4 wins, 6 placed · 34 runs

This runner 36% · Field avg 32% +4

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Shay Farmer(3) 24 wins from 292 rides 8 WIN %
  • R. Mike Smith 61 wins from 580 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 10 together 20WIN %
13

Summerstorms Dream

Lauren Young(5) Jim Goldie

27SR 43RPR 45OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-7 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 33 · Field avg 45 -12

Going Record

on Good
21%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 3 placed · 14 runs

This runner 17% · Field avg 32% -15

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Lauren Young 45 wins from 399 rides 11 WIN %
  • Jim Goldie 284 wins from 2026 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 45 wins from 367 together 12WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
4 Steamers
6 Drifters
2 Flat