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18:00 Hamilton 11 Aug 2026 Kinrara Gin EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted/Hamilton 2yo Qual) (GBB Race)

  • 6 Runners
  • Class 4 Class
  • 0m6f6y Trip
  • Good to Soft Going
Racecard
1

Baldetti

Sean Kirrane Michael Dods

81SR 75OR 15/8Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
-48 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 49 · Field avg 43 +6

Going Record

on Good to Soft
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 0% 0

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Sean Kirrane 129 wins from 1176 rides 11 WIN %
  • Michael Dods 203 wins from 1669 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 23 wins from 170 together 14WIN %
2

Harley

Daniel Tudhope Edward Bethell

84SR 75OR 11/8Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+18 pts trend
↗ Climbing 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 61 · Field avg 43 +18

Going Record

on Good to Soft
60%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 5 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 0% 0

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Daniel Tudhope 344 wins from 1893 rides 18 WIN %
  • Edward Bethell 192 wins from 1086 runners 18 WIN %
  • Pairing 16 wins from 53 together 30WIN %
3

Longshanks Luke

Barry McHugh Patrick Neville

139SR 10/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 43 -8

Going Record

on Good to Soft
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 1 run

This runner 0% · Field avg 0% 0

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Barry McHugh 49 wins from 585 rides 8 WIN %
  • Patrick Neville 45 wins from 260 runners 17 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
4

Sea Mirage

Shane Gray Kevin Ryan

71SR 74OR 6/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+25 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 53 · Field avg 43 +10

Going Record

on Good to Soft
50%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 2 placed · 4 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 0% 0

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Shane Gray 132 wins from 948 rides 14 WIN %
  • Kevin Ryan 208 wins from 1671 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 40 wins from 251 together 16WIN %
5

Lightenings Legacy

Jude Fernandes(7) Mark Usher

123SR 50/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 43 -18

Going Record

on Good to Soft
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 4 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 0% 0

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Mr Jude Fernandes 9 wins from 94 rides 10 WIN %
  • Mark Usher 69 wins from 648 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
6

Profitability

William Pyle Craig Lidster

150SR 9/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
+18 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 34 · Field avg 43 -9

Going Record

on Good to Soft
25%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 4 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 0% 0

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • William Pyle 70 wins from 769 rides 9 WIN %
  • Craig Lidster 68 wins from 574 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 21 wins from 132 together 16WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
2 Steamers
4 Drifters
0 Flat