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14:35 Southwell (AW) 16 Aug 2026 LNAA Critical Care Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB Race)

  • 10 Runners
  • Class 4 Class
  • 1m13y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Palladas

Billy Loughnane Charlie Appleby

158SR 2/7Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 80 · Field avg 40 +40

Going Record

on Good
100%
✓ Proven

2 wins, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 32% +68

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Billy Loughnane 599 wins from 3255 rides 18 WIN %
  • Charlie Appleby 301 wins from 906 runners 33 WIN %
  • Pairing 40 wins from 107 together 37WIN %
2

Cullinan Wolf

Dale Swift Seb Spencer

123SR 100/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 20 · Field avg 40 -20

Going Record

on Good
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 32% -32

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Dale Swift 39 wins from 479 rides 8 WIN %
  • Seb Spencer 30 wins from 375 runners 8 WIN %
  • Pairing 19 wins from 222 together 9WIN %
3

Wats On Tiger

Faye McManoman Brian Rothwell

123SR 125/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 2 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 2 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 10 · Field avg 40 -30

Going Record

on Good
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 32% -32

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Faye McManoman 46 wins from 644 rides 7 WIN %
  • Brian Rothwell 6 wins from 148 runners 4 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 67 together 4WIN %
4

Assiri Heights

Rob Hornby Andrew Balding

151SR 11/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+20 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 37 · Field avg 40 -3

Going Record

on Good
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 32% -32

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Trainer hot
  • Rob Hornby 246 wins from 2166 rides 11 WIN %
  • Andrew Balding 572 wins from 3169 runners 18 WIN %
  • Pairing 28 wins from 197 together 14WIN %
5

Blue Boy Junior

David Nolan David & Nicola Barron

136SR 20/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
-15 pts trend
↘ Fading 0 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 31 · Field avg 40 -9

Going Record

on Good
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 4 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 32% -32

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • David Nolan 173 wins from 1507 rides 11 WIN %
  • David & Nicola Barron 60 wins from 564 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 33 together 6WIN %
6

Jetpack Jimmy

Andrew Elliott Simon Whitaker

127SR 125/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
+12 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 31 · Field avg 40 -9

Going Record

on Good
25%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 4 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 32% +1

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Andrew Elliott 1 wins from 132 rides 1 WIN %
  • Simon Whitaker 10 wins from 260 runners 4 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 20 together 0WIN %
7

Mercantile

Ebrahim Nader Daniel & Claire Kubler

125SR 28/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 2 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 2 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 85 · Field avg 40 +45

Going Record

on Good
100%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 1 placed · 1 run

This runner 100% · Field avg 32% +68

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Ebrahim Nader 10 wins from 62 rides 16 WIN %
  • Daniel & Claire Kubler 119 wins from 724 runners 16 WIN %
  • Pairing 8 wins from 39 together 21WIN %
8

Salvezza

Kieran Shoemark Ed Walker

147SR 11/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 33 · Field avg 40 -8

Going Record

on Good
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 32% -32

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Kieran Shoemark 286 wins from 2054 rides 14 WIN %
  • Ed Walker 259 wins from 1645 runners 16 WIN %
  • Pairing 78 wins from 479 together 16WIN %
9

Star of The Desert

Daniel Muscutt Joey Ramsden

139SR 14/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 40 0

Going Record

on Good
50%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 2 placed · 4 runs

This runner 67% · Field avg 32% +35

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Daniel Muscutt 250 wins from 1800 rides 14 WIN %
  • Joey Ramsden 13 wins from 209 runners 6 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 4 together 0WIN %
10

Wyvill

David Probert Ian Williams

126SR 150/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+23 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 37 · Field avg 40 -4

Going Record

on Good
20%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 5 runs

This runner 20% · Field avg 32% -12

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • David Probert 326 wins from 2455 rides 13 WIN %
  • Ian Williams 250 wins from 2236 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 9 wins from 56 together 16WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
4 Steamers
3 Drifters
3 Flat