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13:32 Southwell (AW) 31 Aug 2026 Oktoberfest 3rd And 10th October Maiden Fillies' Stakes (gbb Race)

  • 10 Runners
  • Class 4 Class
  • 4f214y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Beautiful Effort

Silvestre De Sousa Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos

72SR 70OR 5/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+45 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 52 · Field avg 42 +10

Going Record

on Good
50%
✓ Proven

1 win, 1 placed · 4 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 31% +19

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Silvestre De Sousa 218 wins from 1584 rides 14 WIN %
  • Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos 2 wins from 57 runners 4 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 10 together 10WIN %
2

Chiwara

Barry McHugh Richard & Peter Fahey

142SR 18/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 42 -2

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 1 placed · 3 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 31% +19

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Barry McHugh 49 wins from 585 rides 8 WIN %
  • Richard & Peter Fahey 60 wins from 603 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 38 together 3WIN %
3

Cosmic Mystery

Luke Morris Archie Watson

85SR 79OR 10/3Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+25 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 42 -7

Going Record

on Good
20%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 5 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 31% -31

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Luke Morris 368 wins from 3001 rides 12 WIN %
  • Archie Watson 206 wins from 1394 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 40 wins from 260 together 15WIN %
4

Delighfully Hot

Cieren Fallon James Owen

82SR 74OR 15/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-18 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 51 · Field avg 42 +9

Going Record

on Good
50%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 3 placed · 6 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 31% +19

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Cieren Fallon 327 wins from 1840 rides 18 WIN %
  • James Owen 413 wins from 2211 runners 19 WIN %
  • Pairing 23 wins from 125 together 18WIN %
5

Estupenda

Alex Jary(3) Joey Ramsden

125SR 40/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 2 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 2 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 42 -17

Going Record

on Good
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 31% -31

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Alex Jary(3) 65 wins from 679 rides 10 WIN %
  • Joey Ramsden 11 wins from 182 runners 6 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 11 together 9WIN %
6

Kokumi

Gina Mangan Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole

79SR 72OR 11/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 60 · Field avg 42 +18

Going Record

on Good
67%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 2 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 31% -31

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Gina Mangan 101 wins from 884 rides 11 WIN %
  • Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole 109 wins from 968 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 7 wins from 52 together 13WIN %
7

Quiet Soul

Sean Levey Michael Herrington

44SR 63OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
-35 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 39 · Field avg 42 -3

Going Record

on Good
40%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 2 placed · 5 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 31% +2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Sean Levey 224 wins from 1748 rides 13 WIN %
  • Michael Herrington 105 wins from 763 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 5 together 40WIN %
8

Sayidah Dubawi

Billy Loughnane James Tate

150SR 9/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 1 run

Only one run on file — not enough to plot a trend. Single score: 25.

Going Record

on Good
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 1 run

This runner 0% · Field avg 31% -31

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
★ Both hot
  • Billy Loughnane 558 wins from 3031 rides 18 WIN %
  • James Tate 121 wins from 649 runners 19 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 38 together 8WIN %
9

Sioux Moon

Paddy Bradley Charlie Fellowes

143SR 20/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
+5 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 45 · Field avg 42 +3

Going Record

on Good
50%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 2 placed · 4 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 31% +19

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Paddy Bradley 106 wins from 1093 rides 10 WIN %
  • Charlie Fellowes 82 wins from 768 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 13 wins from 88 together 15WIN %
10

Viking Barbie

Marco Ghiani Ollie Sangster

72SR 70OR 9/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-15 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 46 · Field avg 42 +4

Going Record

on Good
50%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 3 placed · 6 runs

This runner 75% · Field avg 31% +44

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Marco Ghiani 272 wins from 1657 rides 16 WIN %
  • Ollie Sangster 105 wins from 747 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 3 together 33WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
3 Steamers
7 Drifters
0 Flat