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13:55 Ayr 18 Sep 2026 Get Home Safe With Thistle Cabs EBF Nursery Handicap Stakes

  • 13 Runners
  • Class 2 Class
  • 0m6f0y Trip
  • Soft Going
Racecard
1

Dontlookanyfurther

Jason Hart John & Sean Quinn

90SR 85RPR 91OR 13/8Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 63 · Field avg 52 +11

Going Record

on Soft
50%
✓ Proven

1 win, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 29% -29

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Jason Hart 384 wins from 2666 rides 14 WIN %
  • John & Sean Quinn 94 wins from 762 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 63 wins from 485 together 13WIN %
2

Siouxperb

Daniel Tudhope Archie Watson

83SR 89RPR 88OR 7/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
-18 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 52 · Field avg 52 0

Going Record

on Soft
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 1 run

This runner 0% · Field avg 29% -29

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Jockey hot
  • Daniel Tudhope 344 wins from 1893 rides 18 WIN %
  • Archie Watson 206 wins from 1394 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 3 together 0WIN %
3

Crystal Queen

Warren Fentiman(3) Richard & Peter Fahey

79SR 96RPR 88OR 12/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
-40 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 61 · Field avg 52 +10

Going Record

on Soft
50%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 1 placed · 2 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 29% +71

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Warren Fentiman(3) 72 wins from 774 rides 9 WIN %
  • Richard & Peter Fahey 60 wins from 603 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 10 wins from 90 together 11WIN %
4

Tropical Crown

Pierre-Louis Jamin K. R. Burke

77SR 89RPR 84OR 9/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 50 · Field avg 52 -2

Going Record

on Soft
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 1 run

This runner 0% · Field avg 29% -29

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Pierre-Louis Jamin 106 wins from 727 rides 15 WIN %
  • K. R. Burke 430 wins from 2139 runners 20 WIN %
  • Pairing 52 wins from 237 together 22WIN %
5

Baddaddan

Saffie Osborne Richard Spencer

74SR 74RPR 83OR 11/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
-40 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 46 · Field avg 52 -6

Going Record

on Soft
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 1 run

This runner 0% · Field avg 29% -29

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Saffie Osborne 210 wins from 1531 rides 14 WIN %
  • Richard Spencer 100 wins from 662 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 25 wins from 117 together 21WIN %
6

Influencer Man

M. P. Sheehy Adrian Keatley

67SR 86RPR 82OR 16/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 55 · Field avg 52 +4

Going Record

on Soft
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 1 run

This runner 0% · Field avg 29% -29

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • M. P. Sheehy 30 wins from 411 rides 7 WIN %
  • Adrian Keatley 111 wins from 742 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 12 wins from 95 together 13WIN %
7

Trumpety Trump

Lauren Young(5) Jim Goldie

86SR 83RPR 80OR 11/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+15 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 59 · Field avg 52 +8

Going Record

on Soft
67%
✓ Proven

1 win, 1 placed · 3 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 29% +21

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Lauren Young 45 wins from 399 rides 11 WIN %
  • Jim Goldie 284 wins from 2026 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 45 wins from 367 together 12WIN %
8

Mind Those Steps

David Allan Tim Easterby

57SR 76RPR 79OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
-43 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 54 · Field avg 52 +2

Going Record

on Soft
50%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 1 placed · 2 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 29% +71

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • David Allan 272 wins from 2154 rides 13 WIN %
  • Tim Easterby 485 wins from 4580 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 230 wins from 1802 together 13WIN %
9

Gladys Pugh

Oisin McSweeney Kevin Ryan

57SR 79RPR 78OR 28/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
-30 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 52 -12

Going Record

on Soft
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 29% -29

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Oisin McSweeney 66 wins from 627 rides 11 WIN %
  • Kevin Ryan 208 wins from 1671 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 12 wins from 73 together 16WIN %
10

Furturra

Joanna Mason Tim Easterby

69SR 87RPR 76OR 9/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-8 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 41 · Field avg 52 -11

Going Record

on Soft
25%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 4 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 29% -29

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Joanna Mason 204 wins from 1676 rides 12 WIN %
  • Tim Easterby 485 wins from 4580 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 21 together 0WIN %
11

Deputy Vice

Rhys Elliott(5) Rebecca Menzies

75SR 84RPR 74OR 14/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
-8 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 45 · Field avg 52 -6

Going Record

on Soft
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 1 placed · 3 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 29% +4

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Rhys Elliott(5) 47 wins from 610 rides 8 WIN %
  • Rebecca Menzies 105 wins from 920 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 4 together 0WIN %
12

Turnstile

Duran Fentiman Tim Easterby

54SR 80RPR 68OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-10 pts trend
→ Steady 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 55 · Field avg 52 +4

Going Record

on Soft
100%
✓ Proven

1 win, 0 placed · 1 run

This runner 100% · Field avg 29% +71

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Duran Fentiman 58 wins from 847 rides 7 WIN %
  • Tim Easterby 485 wins from 4580 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 50 wins from 759 together 7WIN %
13

Inns And Out

James Sullivan Tim Easterby

62SR 74RPR 67OR 18/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+25 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 49 · Field avg 52 -2

Going Record

on Soft
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 1 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 29% -29

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • James Sullivan 115 wins from 1362 rides 8 WIN %
  • Tim Easterby 485 wins from 4580 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 12 wins from 158 together 8WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
4 Steamers
6 Drifters
3 Flat