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19:12 Wolverhampton (AW) 21 Sep 2026 Follow @attheraces On X Handicap Stakes

  • 10 Runners
  • Class 5 Class
  • 1m142y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

American State

Daniel Muscutt Ivan Furtado

68SR 72RPR 69OR 4/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-10 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 40 0

Going Record

on Good
30%
~ Mixed

3 wins, 3 placed · 20 runs

This runner 31% · Field avg 32% -1

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Daniel Muscutt 250 wins from 1800 rides 14 WIN %
  • Ivan Furtado 104 wins from 1086 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 10 together 10WIN %
2

Drumstick

Gina Mangan Fergal O'Brien

60SR 71RPR 69OR 10/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-25 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 40 -2

Going Record

on Good
24%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 3 placed · 17 runs

This runner 20% · Field avg 32% -12

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Gina Mangan 104 wins from 927 rides 11 WIN %
  • Fergal O'Brien 113 wins from 761 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 9 wins from 38 together 24WIN %
3

The Hare Rail

Joe Leavy Roger Teal

72SR 76RPR 66OR 7/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+23 pts trend
↗ Climbing 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 63 · Field avg 40 +24

Going Record

on Good
50%
✓ Proven

1 win, 9 placed · 20 runs

This runner 54% · Field avg 32% +22

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Joe Leavy 149 wins from 1313 rides 11 WIN %
  • Roger Teal 114 wins from 897 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 54 together 9WIN %
4

Highland Olly

Alistair Rawlinson Grant Tuer

65SR 78RPR 66OR 13/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-22 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 26 · Field avg 40 -14

Going Record

on Good
35%
~ Mixed

6 wins, 5 placed · 31 runs

This runner 41% · Field avg 32% +9

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Alistair Rawlinson 87 wins from 836 rides 10 WIN %
  • Grant Tuer 100 wins from 739 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 16 together 19WIN %
5

Rua Mor

Jonny Peate Sam England

59SR 69RPR 66OR 14/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+8 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 29 · Field avg 40 -11

Going Record

on Good
14%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 7 runs

This runner 17% · Field avg 32% -15

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Jonny Peate 68 wins from 783 rides 9 WIN %
  • Sam England 138 wins from 939 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 13 together 0WIN %
6

Moon Beginnings

Luke Morris David Loughnane

66SR 78RPR 66OR 5/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 28 · Field avg 40 -12

Going Record

on Good
18%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 1 placed · 11 runs

This runner 22% · Field avg 32% -10

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Luke Morris 385 wins from 3160 rides 12 WIN %
  • David Loughnane 99 wins from 869 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 6 together 0WIN %
7

Three No Trumps

Marco Ghiani Ed Dunlop

67SR 69RPR 70OR 17/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
-6 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 39 · Field avg 40 -1

Going Record

on Good
40%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 2 placed · 5 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 32% +1

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Marco Ghiani 285 wins from 1786 rides 16 WIN %
  • Ed Dunlop 137 wins from 1153 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 18 together 6WIN %
8

Espanita

Callum Shepherd Charlie Johnston

73SR 68RPR 67OR 6/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-37 pts trend
↘ Fading 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 63 · Field avg 40 +24

Going Record

on Good
47%
★ Specialist

3 wins, 4 placed · 15 runs

This runner 55% · Field avg 32% +23

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Callum Shepherd 261 wins from 1754 rides 15 WIN %
  • Charlie Johnston 341 wins from 2613 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 22 wins from 176 together 12WIN %
9

Lili Marleen

Pierre-Louis Jamin Jack Jones

31SR 55RPR 58OR 66/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+45 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 48 · Field avg 40 +8

Going Record

on Good
27%
✗ Avoid

2 wins, 1 placed · 11 runs

This runner 30% · Field avg 32% -2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Pierre-Louis Jamin 109 wins from 766 rides 14 WIN %
  • Jack Jones 77 wins from 614 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 7 together 14WIN %
10

Meritocratic

Sean Dylan Bowen James Owen

38SR 62RPR 57OR 25/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+8 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 24 · Field avg 40 -16

Going Record

on Good
18%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 2 placed · 11 runs

This runner 14% · Field avg 32% -18

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Trainer hot
  • Sean Dylan Bowen 126 wins from 1175 rides 11 WIN %
  • James Owen 444 wins from 2381 runners 19 WIN %
  • Pairing 19 wins from 147 together 13WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
4 Steamers
6 Drifters
0 Flat