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15:20 Killarney 5 Oct 2026 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Navigation Stakes (Listed)

  • 11 Runners
  • Class 1 Class
  • 1m3f50y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Action

W. M. Lordan Aidan O'Brien

107SR 113RPR 109OR 10/3Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 23 · Field avg 60 -38

Going Record

on Good
38%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 3 placed · 8 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 51% -18

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • W. M. Lordan 156 wins from 962 rides 16 WIN %
  • Aidan O'Brien 298 wins from 1330 runners 22 WIN %
  • Pairing 91 wins from 418 together 22WIN %
2

Back Straight

Seamie Heffernan M D O'Callaghan

84SR 82RPR 88OR 11/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 70 · Field avg 60 +10

Going Record

on Good
100%
✓ Proven

1 win, 0 placed · 1 run

This runner 100% · Field avg 51% +49

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Seamie Heffernan 101 wins from 1293 rides 8 WIN %
  • M D O'Callaghan 83 wins from 671 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 24 together 12WIN %
3

Latin America

Ben Coen J. P. Murtagh

96SR 97RPR 95OR 13/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
-42 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 64 · Field avg 60 +4

Going Record

on Good
100%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 1 placed · 1 run

This runner 100% · Field avg 51% +49

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Ben Coen 207 wins from 1856 rides 11 WIN %
  • J. P. Murtagh 152 wins from 1347 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 109 wins from 802 together 14WIN %
4

Magnum Cor

J M Sheridan Joseph Patrick O'Brien

96SR 81RPR 95OR -Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 80 · Field avg 60 +20

Going Record

on Good
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 1 run

This runner 0% · Field avg 51% -51

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • J M Sheridan 129 wins from 1226 rides 11 WIN %
  • Joseph Patrick O'Brien 517 wins from 3201 runners 16 WIN %
  • Pairing 45 wins from 257 together 18WIN %
5

Manton Bay

W. J. Lee David Marnane

104SR 100RPR 97OR 3/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 63 · Field avg 60 +2

Going Record

on Good
75%
★ Specialist

2 wins, 4 placed · 8 runs

This runner 71% · Field avg 51% +20

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • W. J. Lee 296 wins from 1907 rides 16 WIN %
  • David Marnane 72 wins from 691 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 17 together 0WIN %
6

Mr Vettori

Scott McCullagh Mrs J. Harrington

83SR 97RPR 98OR 18/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-55 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 58 · Field avg 60 -3

Going Record

on Good
25%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 4 runs

This runner 25% · Field avg 51% -26

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Scott McCullagh 30 wins from 390 rides 8 WIN %
  • Mrs J. Harrington 170 wins from 1623 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 7 wins from 99 together 7WIN %
7

Shaihaan

Chris Hayes Donnacha Aidan O'Brien

103SR 105RPR 102OR 7/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-17 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 58 · Field avg 60 -2

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 2 placed · 6 runs

This runner 40% · Field avg 51% -11

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Chris Hayes 159 wins from 1670 rides 10 WIN %
  • Donnacha Aidan O'Brien 62 wins from 491 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 8 wins from 55 together 15WIN %
8

Caught U Sleeping

Adam Caffrey Noel Meade

101SR 101RPR 102OR 11/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-28 pts trend
↘ Fading 5 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 68 · Field avg 60 +7

Going Record

on Good
83%
★ Specialist

2 wins, 3 placed · 6 runs

This runner 80% · Field avg 51% +29

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Adam Caffrey 95 wins from 1012 rides 9 WIN %
  • Noel Meade 138 wins from 1195 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 66 together 3WIN %
9

Alphecca

G. F. Carroll Joseph G Murphy

67SR 90RPR 91OR 20/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 50 · Field avg 60 -10

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

1 win, 1 placed · 6 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 51% -51

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • G. F. Carroll 147 wins from 1444 rides 10 WIN %
  • Joseph G Murphy 45 wins from 392 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 36 wins from 236 together 15WIN %
10

Garden Party

Gavin Ryan Aidan O'Brien

67SR 82RPR 85OR 40/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 58 · Field avg 60 -2

Going Record

on Good
67%
✓ Proven

1 win, 1 placed · 3 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 51% -1

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Trainer hot
  • Gavin Ryan 70 wins from 890 rides 8 WIN %
  • Aidan O'Brien 298 wins from 1330 runners 22 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 18 together 0WIN %
11

Millhone

Rory Mulligan Charles Weld

60SR 67RPR 72OR 100/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+12 pts trend
→ Steady 5 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 71 · Field avg 60 +11

Going Record

on Good
56%
✓ Proven

1 win, 4 placed · 9 runs

This runner 57% · Field avg 51% +6

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Rory Mulligan 39 wins from 426 rides 9 WIN %
  • Charles Weld 6 wins from 117 runners 5 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 21 together 5WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
6 Steamers
4 Drifters
1 Flat