Sly Man's ACCA — Thursday 10 September 2026

Combined price 100,980/1 ✓ 10× minimum Target: 10,001/1

Chance of all six · Confidence 1 in 4,400 LOW

Shape · Stability 2 Anchor · 4 Core · 0 Booster Steady · 5 of 6 legs shared with runner-up 3 courses · 6 races

Long shot. At least one leg is Speculative. Chase odds, not conviction -- horse racing's unpredictability factor is baked in.

1 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 9/2

14:10 Worcester

Karnaval Point

Anchor at 9/2. Model probability 28% against market 18% -- +9.4pp edge.

2 ANCHOR BET 3/1

14:40 Lingfield (AW)

My Maria

Anchor at 3/1. Pick Winner rates it 31%, well clear of its next-best rival.

3 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 8/1

14:45 Worcester

Wannabe Sporty

Core at 8/1. Model probability 22% against market 11% -- +11.3pp edge.

4 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 7/1

15:42 Epsom

Galaxy Star

Core at 7/1. Model probability 28% against market 12% -- +15.1pp edge.

5 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 15/2

16:23 Lingfield (AW)

South Kensington

Core at 15/2. Model probability 22% against market 12% -- +10.7pp edge.

6 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 13/2

16:58 Lingfield (AW)

Majestic Wave

Core at 13/2. Model probability 22% against market 13% -- +9.1pp edge.

Break it down

Six legs generate 63 combinations — a Lucky 63. Edit any leg's odds or the stake per line and every payout below recomputes.

Stake per line £

Total outlay £63.00 63 combinations

Odds — edit any leg

1 Karnaval Point / decimal —

2 My Maria / decimal —

3 Wannabe Sporty / decimal —

4 Galaxy Star / decimal —

5 South Kensington / decimal —

6 Majestic Wave / decimal —

Returns include stake.

Singles 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Doubles 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Trebles 20 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Four-folds 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Five-folds 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Six-fold 1 line Outlay £— If all 6 land —

If every leg lands, all 63 lines pay £—

A calculator, not advice. Six-leg accumulators are variance-dominated at any edge — see the primer.

Why these six?

The optimiser searched today's Pick Winner selections for the six most likely to win that still multiply to at least 10,001/1. Result: 100,980/1 -- a 1 in 4,400 chance of all six. Split 2 anchors, 4 cores.