Sly Man's ACCA — Wednesday 16 September 2026

Combined price 51,047/1 ✓ 5× minimum Target: 10,001/1

Chance of all six · Confidence 1 in 8,300 LOW

Shape · Stability 4 Anchor · 2 Core · 0 Booster Steady · 5 of 6 legs shared with runner-up 4 courses · 6 races

Long shot. At least one leg is Speculative. Chase odds, not conviction -- horse racing's unpredictability factor is baked in.

1 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 4/1

16:45 Yarmouth

Alice de Clare

Anchor at 4/1. Model probability 25% against market 20% -- +5.0pp edge.

2 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 13/2

17:05 Clonmel

Ella's Gold

Core at 13/2. Model probability 20% against market 13% -- +6.8pp edge.

3 ANCHOR WATCH ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 9/2

17:15 Yarmouth

Raffles Angel

Anchor at 9/2. Pick Winner rates it 22% with a +4.3pp edge to market.

4 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 5/1

17:25 Kelso

Starlyte

Anchor at 5/1. Model probability 28% against market 17% -- +11.0pp edge.

5 ANCHOR WATCH ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 9/2

17:50 Beverley

Hostelry

Anchor at 9/2. Pick Winner rates it 22% with a +4.3pp edge to market.

6 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 13/2

18:43 Clonmel

War Rooms

Core at 13/2. Model probability 20% against market 13% -- +6.8pp edge.

Break it down

Six legs generate 63 combinations — a Lucky 63. Edit any leg's odds or the stake per line and every payout below recomputes.

Stake per line £

Total outlay £63.00 63 combinations

Odds — edit any leg

1 Alice de Clare / decimal —

2 Ella's Gold / decimal —

3 Raffles Angel / decimal —

4 Starlyte / decimal —

5 Hostelry / decimal —

6 War Rooms / decimal —

Returns include stake.

Singles 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Doubles 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Trebles 20 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Four-folds 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Five-folds 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Six-fold 1 line Outlay £— If all 6 land —

If every leg lands, all 63 lines pay £—

A calculator, not advice. Six-leg accumulators are variance-dominated at any edge — see the primer.

Why these six?

The optimiser searched today's Pick Winner selections for the six most likely to win that still multiply to at least 10,001/1. Result: 51,047/1 -- a 1 in 8,300 chance of all six. Split 4 anchors, 2 cores.