Sly Man's ACCA — Friday 25 September 2026

Combined price 16,031/1 ✓ 2× minimum Target: 10,001/1

Chance of all six · Confidence 1 in 2,400 LOW

Shape · Stability 4 Anchor · 2 Core · 0 Booster Steady · 5 of 6 legs shared with runner-up 4 courses · 6 races

Long shot. At least one leg is Speculative. Chase odds, not conviction -- horse racing's unpredictability factor is baked in.

1 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 7/2

14:33 Haydock

Thebesthasyetocome

Anchor at 7/2. Model probability 28% against market 22% -- +5.4pp edge.

2 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 13/2

16:30 Listowel

Gaelic Des Chastys

Core at 13/2. Model probability 20% against market 13% -- +6.8pp edge.

3 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 3/1

16:50 Haydock

Glory Road

Anchor at 3/1. Model probability 31% against market 25% -- +6.0pp edge.

4 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 4/1

17:23 Haydock

Arrange

Anchor at 4/1. Model probability 28% against market 20% -- +7.6pp edge.

5 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 17/2

19:15 Newcastle (AW)

Sassy Glory

Core at 17/2. Model probability 22% against market 11% -- +11.9pp edge.

6 ANCHOR BET 6/4

19:30 Dundalk (AW)

Geryon

Anchor at 6/4. Pick Winner rates it 45%, well clear of its next-best rival.

Break it down

Six legs generate 63 combinations — a Lucky 63. Edit any leg's odds or the stake per line and every payout below recomputes.

Stake per line £

Total outlay £63.00 63 combinations

Odds — edit any leg

1 Thebesthasyetocome / decimal —

2 Gaelic Des Chastys / decimal —

3 Glory Road / decimal —

4 Arrange / decimal —

5 Sassy Glory / decimal —

6 Geryon / decimal —

Returns include stake.

Singles 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Doubles 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Trebles 20 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Four-folds 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Five-folds 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Six-fold 1 line Outlay £— If all 6 land —

If every leg lands, all 63 lines pay £—

A calculator, not advice. Six-leg accumulators are variance-dominated at any edge — see the primer.

Why these six?

The optimiser searched today's Pick Winner selections for the six most likely to win that still multiply to at least 10,001/1. Result: 16,031/1 -- a 1 in 2,400 chance of all six. Split 4 anchors, 2 cores.