Sly Man's ACCA — Thursday 1 October 2026

Combined price 191,250/1 ✓ 19× minimum Target: 10,001/1

Chance of all six · Confidence 1 in 4,900 LOW

Shape · Stability 2 Anchor · 3 Core · 1 Booster Steady · 5 of 6 legs shared with runner-up 4 courses · 6 races

Long shot. At least one leg is Speculative. Chase odds, not conviction -- horse racing's unpredictability factor is baked in.

1 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 4/1

14:33 Nottingham

Noble Grace

Anchor at 4/1. Model probability 31% against market 20% -- +11.0pp edge.

2 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 4/1

16:00 Southwell

Jurassic Pet

Anchor at 4/1. Model probability 28% against market 20% -- +7.6pp edge.

3 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 15/2

16:18 Nottingham

New Bay Star

Core at 15/2. Model probability 22% against market 12% -- +10.7pp edge.

4 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 9/1

16:30 Bellewstown

Sneddy Eddie

Core at 9/1. Model probability 28% against market 10% -- +17.6pp edge.

5 BOOSTER BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 11/1

17:05 Bellewstown

Secret Rock

Booster at 11/1. Model probability 20% against market 8.3% -- +11.8pp edge.

6 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 13/2

18:30 Newcastle (AW)

Exotic Baby

Core at 13/2. Model probability 22% against market 13% -- +9.1pp edge.

Break it down

Six legs generate 63 combinations — a Lucky 63. Edit any leg's odds or the stake per line and every payout below recomputes.

Stake per line £

Total outlay £63.00 63 combinations

Odds — edit any leg

1 Noble Grace / decimal —

2 Jurassic Pet / decimal —

3 New Bay Star / decimal —

4 Sneddy Eddie / decimal —

5 Secret Rock / decimal —

6 Exotic Baby / decimal —

Returns include stake.

Singles 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Doubles 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Trebles 20 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Four-folds 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Five-folds 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Six-fold 1 line Outlay £— If all 6 land —

If every leg lands, all 63 lines pay £—

A calculator, not advice. Six-leg accumulators are variance-dominated at any edge — see the primer.

Why these six?

The optimiser searched today's Pick Winner selections for the six most likely to win that still multiply to at least 10,001/1. Result: 191,250/1 -- a 1 in 4,900 chance of all six. Split 2 anchors, 3 cores, 1 booster.