Sly Man's ACCA — Wednesday 7 October 2026

Combined price 17,622/1 ✓ 2× minimum Target: 10,001/1

Chance of all six · Confidence 1 in 3,700 LOW

Shape · Stability 4 Anchor · 2 Core · 0 Booster Steady · 5 of 6 legs shared with runner-up 4 courses · 6 races

Long shot. At least one leg is Speculative. Chase odds, not conviction -- horse racing's unpredictability factor is baked in.

1 ANCHOR WATCH ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 10/3

13:35 Worcester

Draco Malfoy

Anchor at 10/3. Pick Winner rates it 28% with a +4.5pp edge to market.

2 ANCHOR WATCH ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 10/3

13:59 Nottingham

Hello Friend

Anchor at 10/3. Pick Winner rates it 28% with a +4.5pp edge to market.

3 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 11/4

14:59 Nottingham

Crown Ranger

Anchor at 11/4. Model probability 34% against market 27% -- +7.0pp edge.

4 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 6/1

15:29 Nottingham

Dark Whisper

Core at 6/1. Model probability 22% against market 14% -- +8.2pp edge.

5 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 9/2

15:50 Sedgefield

American Empire

Anchor at 9/2. Model probability 28% against market 18% -- +9.4pp edge.

6 CORE WATCH ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 11/2

17:18 Navan

Mr Perth

Core at 11/2. Pick Winner rates it 20% with a +4.7pp edge to market.

Break it down

Six legs generate 63 combinations — a Lucky 63. Edit any leg's odds or the stake per line and every payout below recomputes.

Stake per line £

Total outlay £63.00 63 combinations

Odds — edit any leg

1 Draco Malfoy / decimal —

2 Hello Friend / decimal —

3 Crown Ranger / decimal —

4 Dark Whisper / decimal —

5 American Empire / decimal —

6 Mr Perth / decimal —

Returns include stake.

Singles 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Doubles 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Trebles 20 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Four-folds 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Five-folds 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Six-fold 1 line Outlay £— If all 6 land —

If every leg lands, all 63 lines pay £—

A calculator, not advice. Six-leg accumulators are variance-dominated at any edge — see the primer.

Why these six?

The optimiser searched today's Pick Winner selections for the six most likely to win that still multiply to at least 10,001/1. Result: 17,622/1 -- a 1 in 3,700 chance of all six. Split 4 anchors, 2 cores.