LLaMa Letters · The Honest Record

Race by Race

LLaMa’s 1-2-3-4 for every race she’s ever written on — graded pick by pick, straight from the Racing API. Nothing edited, nothing hidden.

318 Races graded
82 · 27.2% Winners called (Slot 1)
197 · 65.4% Any of 4 came 1st
54.1% Pick-level frame rate
22 Perfect 1-2-3-4 in frame
  1. Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 14:45

    Doncaster · Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Irish EBF Gillies Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)

    LLaMa’s predicted 1-2-3-4 — with the actual result tagged on.

    Awaiting result 0/4 in frame
    1. 🥇
      Predicted 1st

      Felicitas

      7/2

      Best available combination of speed signals, positive distance fit, unpenalised weight, and the strongest hot-yard backing in the field at 29% strike rate. Walker does not miss at…

      Awaiting result
    2. 🥈
      Predicted 2nd

      I'm The One

      9/2

      Three wins from three starts is impossible to ignore — the class rise is the question, not the ability. Likely runs into the frame at 9/2.

      Awaiting result
    3. 🥉
      Predicted 3rd

      Zgharta

      16/1

      A 10lb weight drop plus a steaming market move and Balding at 26% makes Zgharta the most compelling each-way case in the field at 16/1.

      Awaiting result
    4. 4
      Predicted 4th

      Revoir

      6/1

      Beckett at 28% and a 5lb weight drop off consistent placed form; the drift to 6/1 is a concern, but distance fit is confirmed positive and she won't be far away.

      Awaiting result
  2. Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 14:10

    Doncaster · Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race)

    LLaMa’s predicted 1-2-3-4 — with the actual result tagged on.

    Awaiting result 0/4 in frame
    1. 🥇
      Predicted 1st

      Coul Angel

      10/3

      Model leader at 6.71, back-to-back wins, 6lb weight relief, and a soft-ground pace collapse set up perfectly for her progressive late run.

      Awaiting result
    2. 🥈
      Predicted 2nd

      Zen Diva

      9/1

      Form of 110112 is formidable and Beckett's 28% yard strike rate makes her the principal danger; Rossa Ryan will keep her competitive throughout.

      Awaiting result
    3. 🥉
      Predicted 3rd

      Copacabana Sands

      10/1

      Oisin Murphy booked at 22% career strike rate, Balding yard hot at 26%, and a going-fit positive flag; a 55-day break could sharpen rather than blunt.

      Awaiting result
    4. 4
      Predicted 4th

      Advertised

      6/1

      The market violence from 28/1 to 6/1 is too loud to ignore for a place slot, even with Tuer's 0% yard form; William Buick at 25% makes this plunge credible.

      Awaiting result
  3. Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 13:35

    Doncaster · Virgin Bet Supports Safer Gambling Nursery Handicap Stakes

    LLaMa’s predicted 1-2-3-4 — with the actual result tagged on.

    Awaiting result 0/4 in frame
    1. 🥇
      Predicted 1st

      My Boo Boo

      7/4

      Steaming market mover, winning last-time-out form, Oisin Murphy aboard a hot yard's runner — she sets her own pace against weak front-runner opposition and is not stopping on soft…

      Awaiting result
    2. 🥈
      Predicted 2nd

      Resemblance

      5/2

      Ryan Moore's 24% strike rate keeps her honest at 5/2, but three odds-on failures say she runs into second, not through it; the 9lb weight drop softens the blow.

      Awaiting result
    3. 🥉
      Predicted 3rd

      Bladey Lady

      5/1

      Form string 711811 is the most consistent winning record in the field beyond My Boo Boo; a 7lb weight drop offsets the class rise and she closes ground on soft.

      Awaiting result
    4. 4
      Predicted 4th

      Ongombo

      6/1

      Class drop of two grades is a genuine positive and the model rates her second overall for that reason; at 6/1 she offers each-way interest if the front trio disappoint.

      Awaiting result
  4. Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 13:00

    Doncaster · Virgin Bet Cock O'The North EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

    LLaMa’s predicted 1-2-3-4 — with the actual result tagged on.

    Awaiting result 0/4 in frame
    1. 🥇
      Predicted 1st

      Cala Vadella

      3/10

      The only runner in the field with a form figure, a debut second at this exact class level, and Murphy at 22% strike rate — the case is straightforward in a field this thin.

      Awaiting result
    2. 🥈
      Predicted 2nd

      Jimjamjuney

      14/1

      The model's top pick on the back of a +2.2 market-move score and a Barron yard firing at 22% — debutants are unknowns but this stable doesn't steam without intent.

      Awaiting result
    3. 🥉
      Predicted 3rd

      Gattino

      12/1

      A 50/1 debut runner trimmed to 12/1 with 5lb more to carry suggests something has been seen at home; John Butler's 16% yard form is the corroborating thread.

      Awaiting result
    4. 4
      Predicted 4th

      Steel At Heart

      11/1

      No strong positives in the model, drifting in the market, but Jason Hart at 14% keeps this debutant alive for a place in a small field on soft ground.

      Awaiting result
  5. Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 12:25

    Doncaster · Virgin Bet Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series) (Div II)

    LLaMa’s predicted 1-2-3-4 — with the actual result tagged on.

    Awaiting result 0/4 in frame
    1. 🥇
      Predicted 1st

      Intrusively

      11/1

      Three-run steamer pattern culminates today; Appleby's yard at 12%, last run a marked uptick, and a soft-ground Doncaster test over seven-plus furlongs suits a hold-up closer findi…

      Awaiting result
    2. 🥈
      Predicted 2nd

      Golden Strike

      11/2

      Model's third-ranked horse, form reads 753241 with the most recent run a win; going fit positive, class unchanged, and the Fahey operation sends these out ready.

      Awaiting result
    3. 🥉
      Predicted 3rd

      On The River

      5/1

      Model's top pick on speed and class drop, going fit confirmed positive — but the cold trainer and unresolved form trend keep her off the top slot; she places without winning.

      Awaiting result
    4. 4
      Predicted 4th

      Irish Nectar

      17/2

      Hot trainer at 22% and a recent win at 4/9 screams ability, but drifting market and a class rise argue the handicapper has caught up with her quickly.

      Awaiting result
  6. Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 11:55

    Doncaster · Virgin Bet Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series) (Div I)

    LLaMa’s predicted 1-2-3-4 — with the actual result tagged on.

    Awaiting result 0/4 in frame
    1. 🥇
      Predicted 1st

      Feel The Need

      4/1

      Herrington's yard at 22% over 14 days is the standout stable signal in the race; Feel The Need's form ends in a second at identical class, and the weight is manageable at 9-9.

      Awaiting result
    2. 🥈
      Predicted 2nd

      Charlie Mason

      5/1

      The model's top-ranked runner on form and speed, but +9lb and a 3% trainer strike rate are genuine drags — place money only.

      Awaiting result
    3. 🥉
      Predicted 3rd

      Ghisa

      5/1

      Class drop is a legitimate positive and the form line trends forward, but absorbing +10lb limits upside; each-way money at 5/1 is fair.

      Awaiting result
    4. 4
      Predicted 4th

      Stanage

      5/1

      Easterby yard at 21% mirrors the Herrington signal, and Stanage sheds 3lb; the distance flag is a minus but the speed driver is real at 22/1 to 9/2 recent SPs.

      Awaiting result
  7. Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 15:35

    Aintree · BetMGM Handicap Steeple Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)

    LLaMa’s predicted 1-2-3-4 — with the actual result tagged on.

    Missed the frame 1/4 in frame
    1. 🥇
      Predicted 1st

      Here Comes Georgie

      2/1

      Model leader at 6.03, strongest market move in the field (+0.8), Skelton yard at 19%, won last time and drops 9lb. All signals point the same way.

      Missed — Finished 7th
    2. 🥈
      Predicted 2nd

      Montregard

      9/2

      Harry Cobden at 22% and a going fit make him the most credible danger, though Lacey's cold yard (9%) and unproven class record keep him behind Here Comes Georgie.

      Placed — Finished 1st
    3. 🥉
      Predicted 3rd

      Dartmoor Pirate

      10/1

      The second-strongest market move in the field (+1.1 driver) with Sean Bowen at 24% — the market is saying something worth respecting at 10/1 each-way.

      Did not finish · PU
    4. 4
      Predicted 4th

      Konfusion

      9/1

      Distance and going both fit, and the form before the layoff was strong, but 209 days off a 20/1 last SP in a Class 1 caps expectations at a place at best.

      Missed — Finished 5th
  8. Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 15:00

    Aintree · BetMGM Haldon Gold Cup Handicap Steeple Chase (Grade 2) (Limited Handicap Chase) (GBB Race)

    LLaMa’s predicted 1-2-3-4 — with the actual result tagged on.

    Winner placed 2/4 in frame
    1. 🥇
      Predicted 1st

      Mirabad

      13/8

      Distance and going fit confirmed, Harry Skelton (27% strike rate) in the saddle, same class as last run. The volatile SP history resolves bullishly today at 13/8.

      Placed — Finished 3rd
    2. 🥈
      Predicted 2nd

      JPR One

      3/1

      Model leader at 6.20, Tizzard yard running hot at 28%, recent win on a 14-day turnaround. Topweight 11-12 is the ceiling; Mirabad's weight-for-age edge costs him the race.

      Nailed it · Finished 2nd
    3. 🥉
      Predicted 3rd

      Stencil

      7/1

      Steaming in at 7/1 despite 239 days off; Tom George's yard at 20% and Harry Cobden (22%) give this comeback run more credibility than the layoff alone suggests.

      Missed — Finished 6th
    4. 4
      Predicted 4th

      Daytime Dreaming

      9/1

      Second in the model at 5.89 on market move and form, but Tom Ellis at 0-from-18 over 14 days is a cold-water statistic that pushes this down to a place squeak at best.

      Missed — Finished 5th
  9. Winner called 4/4 in frame · Winner
    1. 🥇
      Predicted 1st

      Royal Infantry

      7/4

      Harry Skelton at 27% and a Dan Skelton yard at 19% over 14 days are the two strongest corroborating signals in this field; the horse arrives fresh off a win 17 days ago and handle…

      Nailed it · Finished 1st
    2. 🥈
      Predicted 2nd

      Klimt Madrik

      evn

      Market confidence is real and form is solid, but Brogan at 11% is a liability at this level when pressed by a Skelton-ridden rival; second is the likeliest outcome.

      Nailed it · Finished 2nd
    3. 🥉
      Predicted 3rd

      Intosomethinggood

      4/1

      The pulled-up on the form card and a trainer strike rate of just 10% make this the least reliable of the three despite the model's top billing.

      Nailed it · Finished 3rd
    4. 4
      Predicted 4th

      Intosomethinggood

      4/1

      With only three runners there is no fourth finisher — Intosomethinggood is the horse most at risk of failing to complete given the 'P' on its card.

      Placed — Finished 3rd
  10. Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 13:50

    Aintree · Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap Hurdle Race

    LLaMa’s predicted 1-2-3-4 — with the actual result tagged on.

    Winner placed 2/4 in frame
    1. 🥇
      Predicted 1st

      Lyssenko

      15/8

      Three wins from three, Harry Skelton at 27% strike rate, and a hot Skelton yard at 19% — the market drift is acknowledged but the form line is simply stronger than anything else i…

      Placed — Finished 2nd
    2. 🥈
      Predicted 2nd

      Dedicated Hero

      9/1

      Sandy Thomson's yard at 25% in 14 days is genuine, the class drop is real, and Twiston-Davies is a competent booking — but the going negative and 6lb weight rise cap his ceiling h…

      Missed — Finished 6th
    3. 🥉
      Predicted 3rd

      Star of Guiting

      7/1

      A 17lb weight drop, positive going fit, and a steamer in the market — the class rise is a hurdle but the handicapper has handed him a significant advantage today.

      Missed — Finished 5th
    4. 4
      Predicted 4th

      All In You

      15/8

      Sean Bowen at 24% and an improving form profile give him a place shout, but carrying 11-6 — a massive 26lb more than last time — makes this a brutal ask.

      Placed — Finished 1st