LLaMa Letters · The Honest Record
Race by Race
LLaMa’s 1-2-3-4 for every race she’s ever written on — graded pick by pick, straight from the Racing API. Nothing edited, nothing hidden.
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Awaiting result 1/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Words Of Truth
3/1SR 116, ★★★★, form 113-21 with Billy Loughnane retained, 9-0 weight, and an honest pace to aim at — every signal aligns for the Appleby three-year-old.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Asfoora
2/1SR 118 is the field's second-highest and Oisin Murphy doesn't take a bad ride, but three consecutive disappointing runs mean second is her ceiling here.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Rumstar
11/4SR 112 and ★★★ at 11/4 — front-running profile suits the honest gallop and Rob Hornby is a competent partner, but the 560-20 form has too many blanks to go higher.
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4Predicted 4th
Shagraan
8/1SR 105 and early pace from Rossa Ryan could keep Shagraan competitive into the straight; 21-300 form suggests he gets beaten but rarely runs badly when fresh.
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Missed the frame 2/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Sure And Stedfast
10/3SR-high in the field at 72, recent 3-2 placed sequence, McDonald booked, and lightest credible weight among the leading market principals at 9-9 on the best evidence.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Big Win
2/1SR 73 and a clear improving run sequence of 535-21 justify market support, but 9-6 over a stamina trip edges him out of first at the line.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
It's Only Fun
7/1SR 68, three-star AI rating, and a form line finishing 4412 signals genuine placed form — 7/1 represents the field's best each-way value behind the two principals.
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4Predicted 4th
Golspie
10/1Consistent placed form of 442344 and the lowest-weight position among mid-field runners gives Golspie a claim to the minor money at 10/1.
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Winner called 3/4 in frame · Winner
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🥇Predicted 1st
Barnaby Rudge
13/8SR 152 leads the field, the only winner in the race, and Muscutt rides with yard confidence at 13/8 — the experience edge over five debutants is decisive.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Papercut
4/1SR 150 and Balding's market confidence at 4/1 with PJ McDonald aboard — strong latent ability, just lacks the race experience to overhaul the winner.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Flashing Star
8/1SR 147 and a run already in the legs over this trip; the single sixth-place finish masks a horse likely to improve sharply with race fitness.
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4Predicted 4th
Hell Of A Spin
9/1SR 146 from Keatley's yard; a debut runner who could break well and hold a prominent position, but experience and class likely cost him a podium finish.
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Missed the frame 2/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Power Fizz
11/4SR 101, form 1214-1, Cieren Fallon booked, and a genuine early pace to close into. Every signal points the same direction.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Tuco Salamanca
11/2SR 98, William Buick engaged, and a stalking position in the race-shape that puts him perfectly placed to take the runner-up spot if Power Fizz clears away.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Al Najashi
7/1SR 104 is the best raw number in the field, but the ninth last time out and 3-year-old status in a deep handicap keep him off the top spot; third is fair value for his talent.
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4Predicted 4th
Pocklington
15/2SR 92, PJ McDonald in the saddle, and a form line showing two wins in recent starts — carries 9-12 but deserves a place slot in an honest gallop.
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Missed the frame 2/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Team Player
13/2SR 102 is the highest in the field; the 13-115 form sequence confirms a horse peaking now. 9-1 weight is no burden at this trip for a four-year-old with a genuine staying profile.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Ride The Thunder
11/2SR 98, Roger Varian, and just 8-13 on his back — a horse like this in a true-run two-miler will be finishing hard. The 1442-3 form shows consistency rather than dominance; second …
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Synergism
12/1SR 98 and a win last time under Sir Mark Prescott's meticulous placing — 1253-1 is the form of a horse ready for this exact test. Each-way territory at 12/1.
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4Predicted 4th
Kirchner
8/1SR 91 and Cieren Fallon in the saddle gives Kirchner more upside than his 434-75 form implies; at 8/1 the market sees something, and he'll stay well enough to collect minor placin…
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Missed the frame 1/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Arc Zoosve
10/1Four-win streak (251111), 9-3 weight, and 10/1 price represent the best value-to-momentum combination in the field; Costello's ability to track through a big field is the executio…
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Believitanducan
11/4SR of 91 is class of the field and 1/2-11 form is irrefutable; Buick will have him perfectly placed but the price has compressed too far for a 20-runner stamina handicap.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Shrimp Shady
4/1SR 93, Andrew Balding yard, and 44121 recent form make Shrimp Shady the logical pace-setter and a sturdy each-way candidate despite the 9-11 impost.
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4Predicted 4th
St Faz
11/1117152 form and 9-2 weight give St Faz a legitimate stamina profile at 11/1; Adrian Paul Keatley's runner is the forgotten runner in a market fixated on the top two.
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Winner placed 3/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Marvelman
11/2SR 117, McDonald booked by Balding with purpose, and three placed runs before his break suggest a horse ready to graduate; pace scenario suits a hold-up ride perfectly.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Diligent Harry
3/1Highest SR in the field at 121 and Saffie Osborne is capable, but eight years old at level weights in a genuine gallop will find younger legs outkicking him late.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Symbol Of Honour
13/2Buick-Appleby combination rarely turns up without intent; SR 104 undersells him if the Godolphin operation has targeted this and the pace collapse suits his finishing style.
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4Predicted 4th
Paborus
7/1SR 105 and form showing a win in his penultimate run makes Paborus the most likely pace-influence to stay honest into fourth at 7/1 with Bethell's yard in decent nick.
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Missed the frame 1/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Supido
11/2Field-leading SR of 94, a recent win on the form string, 9-5 weight manageable at this class, and William Buick in the saddle — every major signal aligns.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Caviar Cowboy
11/2SR of 91 and four recent placings in five starts confirm consistency; the light weight of 8-2 helps in a true-run race, even if winning proves beyond a three-year-old here.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Tremolo
17/2Three-win sequence gives Tremolo the form book credentials at SR 93, but a post-break return and 17/2 market caution leave too many questions to promote higher.
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4Predicted 4th
Bobby Bennu
7/2At 7/2 and SR 86, Bobby Bennu is overbet; setting the pace suits him but his form string of 2550-4 shows he doesn't finish the job off the front under pressure.
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Missed the frame 2/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
A Piece Of Heaven
6/1Highest SR in the field at 115, winning on most recent start, peaking at eight over a trip that plays to his strengths — the 6/1 is a gift.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Le Destrier
11/4SR 109, Buick booked, and a form string that includes placings at this class — Mullins knows this trip and Le Destrier will be finishing strongly.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Illinois
3/1SR 118 on paper but that blank last run at 3/1 is a concern — Moore will get him into the race but the form line argues third, not first.
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4Predicted 4th
French Master
11/2SR 114 and a pace-forcing role means he shapes the race — but 150-35 form under the Gosdens suggests he's consistent enough to fill a place without threatening for the win.
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Winner placed 2/4 in frame
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🥇Predicted 1st
Perisher
9/1SR 100, 8-11, form 53-311 showing a horse in steep ascent; Buick aboard and O'Brien stable confidence — the weight advantage over every serious rival in this field is decisive.
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🥈Predicted 2nd
Lost Boys
4/1SR 96 and a 331-11 form sequence make this a genuine contender; the 9-2 weight is the ceiling, but James McDonald will get every last yard from him.
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🥉Predicted 3rd
Princling
7/1SR 101 and 22-14 form carries significant promise; 8-11 matches Perisher's weight, and Marquand on a Haggas runner in handicap company at Ascot is not to be dismissed.
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4Predicted 4th
Evanesco
9/1SR 102 heads the ratings bar Sahara King, and 617-41 form shows resilience; at 9/1 David Egan gets a live each-way claim if the pace collapses late.
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