1 flat-card horse has been backed 40% or more — at sane prices. The signal's 90-day track record: roughly one winner in seven, one place in two and a half. We stake these each-way, 1pt to win plus 1pt to place — the wins fund the losses, the places trim them, and the place rate (around 40%) is where the actual edge lives.
The market reads each horse for a reason: a clean piece of work, a stable whisper, a first-time gear change, or the simple acknowledgement that the early price was wrong. Read each move below, then weigh it against the horse's case on the page.
Curation note — the published board is filtered for names that have historically paid: under 19/1 board price, flat-card only. Long-odds lottery steamers and jumps DNFs are stripped because they don't pay each-way. The full live board at /steamers/ shows every move without the filter.
Drifters worth knowing live in the sidebar at the foot of the article — names the layers are happy to keep on side, and worth treating with caution.
The Verdict
Mr Fox's stake: 1pt each-way on every name above. The 90-day track record shows the place rate (around 40%) is where this signal earns its keep — winners fund losses, places trim them, and the maths works out positive on the place side. Follow the steam, fade the drift — and always at each-way.