Sly Man's Top Rated — Friday 6 November 2026
Each Top Rated lane is judged by its own historical evidence. Price filters are applied only where the ledger shows they improve selection quality.
Sly Man’s Briefing · 2026-11-06
Today’s Top Rated
36
races
330
runners scanned
Signals converging
The FoldThe FoldWhere two or more of Saturday Racing’s primary analytical signals converge on the same horse. The higher the count, the stronger the signal.
1 horse appears in two of today’s primary signals.
Editorial
Sly Man’s Take
Three minutes with the day.
1 horse in the Fold today.
Risky Obsession at 12:40 Aintree is the morning's clearest hook — appearing in The Fold by landing in both the SR ratings (159, top of the board) and the cross-system consensus (three sources aligned: AI, Mr Fox, and the steamer board), all at a current 6/4. The class drop from Class 1 to Class 3 adds a further layer, and with Aqua Bleu — also dropping two classes in the same race — drawing a jockey upgrade to Sean Bowen (22.0% strike rate, up from James Bowen's 0.0%), this 12:40 at Aintree has the feel of a race where the market is already doing the talking. The counter worth noting: Watery Borren sits just two SR points behind on 157 and represents a live threat to the Fold horse in what shapes as a tight-topped race rather than a clear-cut demolition job. Away from Aintree, Diamond Mix at 12:25 Hexham and The Mad Poet at 12:50 Fontwell both hit three-system consensus — The Mad Poet also carrying a two-class drop — but neither has the SR weight to elevate them above the morning's headline, so treat them as supporting acts worth monitoring rather than leads in their own right. Miss You Nights drifting from 4/1 to 15/2 at 16:00 Newcastle is a steamer signal moving the wrong way — flag it, file it, do not follow it.
The scan
Top Signals TodayTop SignalsThe highest-conviction hit from each race today, one row per race. Filters the whole card down to what’s actually worth watching.
The highest-conviction hits, one per race.
By the numbers
The Ratings
Top three horses by each rating system today.
Cross-system agreement
Systems ConsensusSystems ConsensusWhen multiple independent Saturday Racing engines (AI models, Sly Man, Mr Fox, market read) land on the same horse. Cross-system agreement is unusual and worth taking seriously.
The horses Saturday Racing's independent analytical engines all landed on. When four systems built on different signals agree, the market usually catches up quickly.
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3 SYSTEMS
AGREEDiamond Mix
9/412:25 Hexham 2 lists- BALANCED LENS (AI CONSENSUS)
- MR FOX (PICK_WINNER)
- STEAMER BOARD
Race at 12:25 12:25 HexhamVerify -
3 SYSTEMS
AGREERisky Obsession
6/412:40 Aintree 3 lists- BALANCED LENS (AI CONSENSUS)
- MR FOX (PICK_WINNER)
- STEAMER BOARD
Race at 12:40 12:40 AintreeVerify -
3 SYSTEMS
AGREEThe Mad Poet
9/412:50 Fontwell 2 lists- BALANCED LENS (AI CONSENSUS)
- MR FOX (PICK_WINNER)
- STEAMER BOARD
Race at 12:50 12:50 FontwellVerify
Market moves
The MoneyThe MoneyThe board’s view of the race — which horses the market is backing, which it’s abandoning, and by how much.
What the boards are telling us.
Steamers — sharp money coming inSteamerA horse whose odds have shortened significantly as the market backs it. Sharp money coming in.
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4/1 15/2 70%SHARP MONEYRace at 16:00 16:00 Newcastle (AW)Verify
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10/1 16/1 55%SHARP MONEYRace at 15:35 15:35 AintreeVerify
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22/1 11/1 48%SHARP MONEYRace at 13:25 13:25 FontwellVerify
Drifters — sanity checkDrifterA horse whose odds have lengthened as the market cools on it. Sanity-check signal — sometimes right, sometimes wrong.
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11/2 20/1 223%MARKET COOLINGRace at 12:25 12:25 Hexham
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5/2 17/2 171%MARKET COOLINGRace at 14:35 14:35 Fontwell
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11/2 14/1 131%MARKET COOLINGRace at 13:25 13:25 Fontwell
Contextual edges
The Angles
The situational reads.
Trainer hot streak
14 days-
G. M. Lyons
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Patrick J Flynn
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David Killahena & Graeme McPherson
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Patrick T Foley
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Jamie Snowden
Jockey upgrade
New pilot-
9/2 Race at 13:15
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9/1 Race at 15:43
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50/1 Race at 17:45
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9/2 Race at 12:40
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22/1 Race at 17:45
Course & distance
Specialist-
80/1 Race at 18:00
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7/1 Race at 18:00
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7/1 Race at 18:00
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22/1 Race at 14:53
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25/1 Race at 17:30
Class dropper
-1 class-
9/1 Race at 15:43
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9/2 Race at 12:40
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6/4 Race at 12:40
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9/4 Race at 12:50
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9/1 Race at 13:50