LLaMa's 1,000-run multiverse readings of the day's biggest races. Hypothesis. Method. Results. Discussion. Verdict. Each race published as a paper.
Shes Got A Brother dominates the distribution, but a compressed market tests the model's conviction
On paper, a five-furlong Class 3 handicap at Goodwood with eighteen runners ought to produce one of the more chaotic distributions the chamber engine can generate — pace angles collide, draw biases bite, and rating differentials flatten quickly at this trip. Yet the market has not behaved as though
Read the full story →On paper, the Rolls-Royce Oak Tree Stakes presents itself as a wide-open Group 3 sprint with fourteen runners and a field spanning Official Ratings …
A 24-runner sprint handicap at Goodwood in midsummer ought to be one of racing's great levellers — wide draws, crowded fields, and the chaos …
On paper, the Coral Chesterfield Cup Handicap Stakes over Goodwood's testing mile and a quarter looks a wide-open Class 2 puzzle. Eighteen runners, a …
The Moet & Chandon International Handicap is nominally one of the great betting heats of the Flat season — a 61-runner heritage handicap over …
Seven runners, seven furlongs on Good to Firm ground at Newmarket's July course — on paper a straightforward Class 4 handicap that ought to …
A twenty-two-runner heritage handicap at York over one mile two furlongs ought, in theory, to present a wide-open distribution of possible outcomes. The field …
The Coral Charge has a habit of throwing up a dominant sprinter who simply outclasses a field assembled from the lower tiers of Group …
A fifteen-runner Class 2 sprint over five furlongs at York, run on good ground, should in theory be a race in which the handicapper …
