← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Money Back Daily Specials With Tote.ie Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Summer Island
MEDIUM Advised 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Summer Island (SR 89, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries a manageable 9-4, giving it a meaningful weight advantage over top-weight Booyea (SR 82, 10-0). The form string 163121 — rightmost being a win — shows consistent, progressive form culminating in a recent victory, and the market has shortened 12% since opening, confirming stable confidence. Oisin Murphy at 21% career strike rate is the strongest jockey booking in the field, and at 7/2 the market price undervalues a horse whose SR leads the field by at least 4lbs over the next best. The DistFit:~ is a minor caveat on the mile trip, but the improving trajectory and jockey quality override that concern. Each-way alternative: Kalir. Main danger: No More Porter — No More Porter (SR 81, 8/1) has steamed in 25% in the market, carries a featherweight 8-13, is proven at the mile (DistFit:+), and Colin Keane — the field's second-best jockey booking at 16% — gives Adrian McGuinness's yard a serious chance of landing the stable's #1 runner here over the drifting Goal Exceeded.
Full result
Winner: Kalir (IRE) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Kalir Fox #2 5/1
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2
Final Voyage 33/1
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3
No More Porter Fox #3 15/2
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4
Goal Exceeded 9/1
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5
Summer Island Fox #1 3/1
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6
Dark Viper 9/1
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7
Glitter And Glory 16/1
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8
Booyea Fox #4 7/2
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9
Howyoulikethat 40/1
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10
Marmeladova 9/2
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Glory To Be -
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Playin Cool -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Summer Island 7/2 5TH
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2
Kalir 11/2 SP 6/1 🏆 WON
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3
No More Porter 8/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Booyea 4/1 8TH