Booyea has run over today's trip and going, and that runner-up finish last time out — returning after 42 days — signals he's in decent heart; the worry is he's been winless in his last five starts, suggesting a win may prove elusive again.
Form last 600-502
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR92RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Final Voyage landed a win three starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions, with our rating of 98 marking him out as the clear class act in this field; the 84-day absence is worth noting, but he's the one to beat from stall 4 carrying 139 lb.
Form last 6947170
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
62SR98RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Glory To Be won two starts back and was second three starts back, but has since disappointed with an unplaced effort last time; she has experience over today's distance and going, and 22 days gives her time to regroup, though 135 lb is a stiff ask.
Form last 6795210
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
63SR87RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Dark Viper arrives on the back of a win and a second in his last two starts, giving him a clear fitness edge 17 days on, and he has run over today's trip and going before; the concern is that he looked out of sorts in the three starts prior, and 134 lb is no light burden.
Form last 6688521
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR86RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Howyoulikethat bounced back to finish third two starts back after a disappointing seventh, and has run over today's trip — our rating of 90 suggests he's capable of going close; the concern is he remains winless in recent starts and was unplaced last time.
Form last 6-84730
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR90RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Summer Island faces a stiff task on ratings despite a lively recent record that includes wins latest, three and six starts back, and a second two starts back; he has run over today's trip and returns after 44 days off carrying 130 lb.
Form last 6163121
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
89SR82RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Kalir won last time out and has run over today's trip, but his speed rating of 68 and a rank of eighth of twelve suggest he faces a stiff ask, even if 25 days between runs means he arrives fresh off that success.
Form last 64-3441
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR84RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked ninth of 12 on our figures, Marmeladova faces a stiff ask against stronger company, and a speed rating of 73 makes her hard to fancy at the weights. That said, she has run over today's trip and arrives on the back of a win last time out.
Form last 6-14321
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR83RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Won two starts back but only fourth last time out, Goal Exceeded brings distance and going experience to the table carrying 127 lb from stall 12; our rating of 86 suggests potential, though that recent regression gives pause.
Form last 6-20314
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR86RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 11th of 12 on our figures, No More Porter faces a stiff ask here despite that eighth last time out following a run of placed efforts; has run over today's trip and the 10-day turnaround at least suggests he arrives fresh.
Form last 6302328
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR82RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, Glitter And Glory has finished fifth, third and second in her last three starts and looks hard to fancy at the weights, though she does have experience over today's trip and going, and her last-six record does contain a win and a second.
Form last 6215235
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR82RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Summer Island owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1Miss Natalia LupiniOisin Murphy
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Kalir
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · D K Weld✓ Value Signal
Final Voyage
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · J P Murtagh◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Summer Island (SR 89, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries a manageable 9-4, giving it a meaningful weight advantage over top-weight Booyea (SR 82, 10-0). The form string 163121 — rightmost being a win — shows consistent, progressive form culminating in a recent victory, and the market has shortened 12% since opening, confirming stable confidence. Oisin Murphy at 21% career strike rate is the strongest jockey booking in the field, and at 7/2 the market price undervalues a horse whose SR leads the field by at least 4lbs over the next best. The DistFit:~ is a minor caveat on the mile trip, but the improving trajectory and jockey quality override that concern.
Each-way alternative: Kalir.
Main danger: No More Porter — No More Porter (SR 81, 8/1) has steamed in 25% in the market, carries a featherweight 8-13, is proven at the mile (DistFit:+), and Colin Keane — the field's second-best jockey booking at 16% — gives Adrian McGuinness's yard a serious chance of landing the stable's #1 runner here over the drifting Goal Exceeded.
ShortlistSummer Island, Kalir, No More Porter, Booyea