← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Christmas Community Raceday 13th Dec Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Jenever
MEDIUM Advised 3/1 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Jenever (SR:78, 3/1) carries 10-0 but has steamed in 27% in the market — the most dramatic move in the field — suggesting informed money is behind this run. The MarkMv:-5 indicates a lower mark than at last win, giving connections a clear handicapping edge. Jason Hart (14% strike rate, 1295 career runs) is a strong booking on a northern circuit like Carlisle. The negatives — DistFit:- and GoingFit:- — are real concerns, but the weight of market signal and the dropped mark make this a horse to follow rather than oppose at 3/1. Each-way alternative: Sixtygeesbaby. Main danger: Sixtygeesbaby — Sixtygeesbaby (SR:73, 11/2) has steamed in 28% — the joint-biggest move in the field — and David O'Meara placing a 4-year-old with recent sharp market support in a Class 5 handicap is a strong yard signal that deserves serious respect, even with DistFit:- matching Jenever's weakness.
Full result
Winner: Sixtygeesbaby (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Sixtygeesbaby Fox #2 6/1
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2
Valentine Catcher 18/1
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3
Pickersgill 17/2
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4
Jenever Fox #1 10/3
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5
Maldevious Fox #4 11/2
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6
Another Investment Fox #3 7/2
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7
Great 9/2
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8
Showtown 16/1
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Stirrup Cup -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Jenever 3/1 🏁 4TH
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2
Sixtygeesbaby 11/2 SP 4/1 🏆 WON
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3
Another Investment 4/1 6TH
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4
Maldevious 5/1 5TH